Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2026 (lasts for at least 1 year)
Will Zelensky be in power 2028 Jan 1st?
Will a successful coup happen in Russia before the peace is established?
Nuclear weapon launch aimed in such a way that it causes fewer than 10 civilian deaths (eg stratosphere, battlefield, over ocean) before 2030 by Russia
Will a successful coup happen in Ukraine before the peace is established?
>5 regular NATO member state troops participate in active combat in Ukraine by EOY 2026
Russian nuke which causes more than 10 civilian deaths, by 2030
Will Russia or Ukraine gain control over a new city of 250k population by EOY 2024
Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2024 (lasts for at least 1 year)
Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2025 (lasts for at least 1 year)
>5 regular NATO member state troops participate in active combat in Ukraine by EOY 2024