Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2026 (lasts for at least 1 year)
Will Zelensky be in power 2028 Jan 1st?
Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2025 (lasts for at least 1 year)
>5 regular NATO member state troops participate in active combat in Ukraine by EOY 2026
Will a successful coup happen in Ukraine before the peace is established?
Nuclear weapon launch aimed in such a way that it causes fewer than 10 civilian deaths (eg stratosphere, battlefield, over ocean) before 2030 by Russia
Will a successful coup happen in Russia before the peace is established?
Russian nuke which causes more than 10 civilian deaths, by 2030
Will Russia or Ukraine gain control over a new city of 250k population by EOY 2024
Will there be a generally acknlowledged agreement to end fighting by EOY 2024 (lasts for at least 1 year)
>5 regular NATO member state troops participate in active combat in Ukraine by EOY 2024