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Prediction markets for Bill of Rights
Will Elon Musk's political orientation change by the end of 2025?
Oct 9, 3:51 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
13.97%chance
16228157
OptionVotes
2265
191
🚩What red lines will Trump cross by the end of 2028? [ADD RESPONSES]
Aug 13, 2:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20718388
OptionProbability
95
95
91
91
89
87
87
86
86
80
79
77
73
72
67
66
66
66
66
65
62
60
60
58
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57
55
52
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9
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6
5
5
5
4
4
3
2
2
2
Renters' Rights Bill receives Royal Assent by August 31, 2025
Jun 19, 6:10 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM
1%chance
718351
OptionVotes
17198
230
If Donald Trump is elected, which of his campaign promises will be achieved?
Jan 24, 11:20 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
837616
OptionProbability
100
91
89
88
82
79
73
71
71
65
63
63
58
53
50
48
47
45
44
44
44
42
42
42
42
40
40
40
40
38
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36
36
34
34
31
31
31
28
27
27
26
25
24
23
22
21
19
18
18
16
16
13
11
7
0
OptionVotes
3128
320
4. Web agents will go mainstream, becoming the next major killer application in consumer AI.
Dec 27, 8:15 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM
54.88%chance
242972
OptionVotes
1103
907
Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.
Jul 13, 1:16 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
76.19%chance
191852
OptionVotes
1010
851
Will Tiger Woods ever be a candidate for President of the United States?
Aug 4, 2:24 PMDec 12, 4:59 AM
5.44%chance
421674
OptionVotes
1611
904
OptionProbability
99
85
75
65
64
61
57
56
50
50
50
50
43
19
[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?
Feb 23, 8:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
18.25%chance
18894
OptionVotes
1259
922
Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?
Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM
59.88%chance
19407
OptionVotes
1081
928
Will Rand Paul's National Right To Work bill pass & become law before 2026?
Feb 16, 12:24 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM
22.61%chance
385
OptionVotes
185
54
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