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Prediction markets for Bing
OptionVotes
1103
830
OptionVotes
1044
643
Will it be revealed by 2030 that Bing Sydney's release was partially a way to promote AI safety?
Jun 14, 3:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
5.48%chance
422797
OptionVotes
2145
852
Will Bing Chat be the breakthrough for AI safety research?
Feb 20, 7:45 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
3.77%chance
152733
OptionVotes
3143
798
Will "Binging" replace "Googling" as a term for online search by 2030?
Mar 28, 2:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3.77%chance
512712
OptionVotes
2965
834
OptionVotes
1430
877
Bing's market share of search passes google's by 2030
Dec 26, 8:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
19.06%chance
341015
OptionVotes
1014
980
Will "bing" be added as a verb in a major English dictionary by 2029?
Feb 8, 8:41 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
9.59%chance
14755
OptionVotes
1504
906
Will "The Story of "I Have Been A Good Bing"" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Apr 1, 11:22 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
25.9%chance
24688
OptionVotes
1030
974
OptionVotes
1025
971
Bing's market share passes 10% by 2030 (it's 3.4% as of 12/22)
Dec 26, 8:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
43%chance
23593
OptionVotes
1107
764
Will at least 1 in 6 of US adults (21+) binge alcohol in an average month in 2030?
Jan 28, 1:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
69.98%chance
12175
OptionVotes
1108
945
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