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Prediction markets for BIS
Will Taylor Swift publicly come out as gay, bisexual, or queer before the end of 2030?
Jan 31, 2:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
13.41%chance
756035
OptionVotes
2176
1183
Will Bishop Daniel Flores become the first Bishop of Martian land within his lifetime?
Oct 14, 10:32 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
7.26%chance
103200
OptionVotes
3614
283
OptionProbability
96
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
Will the US have a (new) homosexual or bisexual president by 2033?
Jan 30, 9:14 PMFeb 1, 5:00 AM
16.04%chance
331137
OptionVotes
1355
902
Will the European Bison (Bison bonasus) become extinct in the current century?
Feb 22, 7:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
14.14%chance
121112
OptionVotes
1504
211
OptionVotes
145
69
Will the American Bison (Bison bison) become extinct in the current century?
Feb 22, 7:54 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
12.33%chance
12880
OptionVotes
1235
331
OptionVotes
1493
670
OptionProbability
61
11
9
5
5
5
1
1
1
Will the wild population of the American Bison (Bison bison) become extinct by 2100?
Apr 4, 9:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.92%chance
4160
OptionVotes
660
414
Will Connor Storrie come out as gay or bisexual by December 31 2026?
Feb 15, 1:51 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
20.12%chance
5121
OptionVotes
199
50
Will US BIS announce a new export control update affecting AI accelerators before 2026-09-30?
May 4, 8:22 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM
75%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100
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