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Prediction markets for Blacks
Will Harvard Admit a Class that is Less than 10% Black by 2028?
Jun 29, 7:18 PMOct 1, 10:59 PM
46.49%chance
756150
OptionVotes
1413
944
OptionVotes
971
945
OptionVotes
1523
825
US public opinion, 2026: Worse outcomes for Black people, mainly from discrimination?
Jun 27, 8:41 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
18.08%chance
111423
OptionVotes
2129
470
OptionVotes
1837
498
Will Noam Chomsky get a black bar on hnews when he passes away
May 12, 9:46 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM
26.86%chance
161194
OptionVotes
1698
547
OptionVotes
1314
924
Will I record an album with my black metal band in 2026?
Dec 31, 4:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
73.12%chance
5901
OptionVotes
1652
607
OptionVotes
1514
866
Are naked singularities from spinning black holes physically possible?
Jan 2, 9:24 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
23.46%chance
15512
OptionVotes
1042
786
Will "The Lizardman and the Black Hat Bobcat" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Jul 17, 12:51 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
13.4%chance
263
OptionVotes
1045
993
OptionProbability
33
33
33
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