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Top stories

Moraes Brushes Off U.S. Sanctions, Presses Bolsonaro Coup Trial

US Foreign Policy

Moraes Brushes Off U.S. Sanctions, Presses Bolsonaro Coup Trial

Authors

11

20 hours ago

Trump Defends New 50% Tariff Plan, Cites $108 Billion Cash Haul

Executive Orders

Trump Defends New 50% Tariff Plan, Cites $108 Billion Cash Haul

Authors

9

2 days ago

Stocks Slide as Trump Tariffs and Weak Jobs Data Jolt Wall Street

Stocks Slide as Trump Tariffs and Weak Jobs Data Jolt Wall Street

Authors

19

19 hours ago

US Foreign Policy

Trump Opens Door to Talks With Lula on 50% Tariffs

Authors

7

18 hours ago

Executive Orders

Trump Exempts 45% of Brazilian Exports From New 50% Tariff

Authors

11

2 days ago

US Foreign Policy

Trump Insists Aug. 1 Trade Deadline Stands, Warns of New Tariffs

Authors

15

3 days ago

US Foreign Policy

Trump Administration and DEA Offer $25 Million Reward for Arrest of Nicolás Maduro Over Cartel of the Suns Terrorism and Narcotrafficking

Authors

7

4 days ago

Stablecoins Including GBP, BRL, JPY Launch as Core Infrastructure and Institutional DeFi Backbone Amid Hong Kong Regulation

Authors

4

5 days ago

Prediction markets for Brazilian

Will Brazilian ineligibility laws be revised to allow Bolsonaro to run for office in 2026?

Feb 4, 5:35 PMAug 2, 3:59 AM

7.87%chance

1416797

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14892

52

Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?

Jan 27, 1:53 AMOct 25, 8:00 PM

3310846

OptionProbability

Lula

Other

Tarcísio de Freitas

Fernando Haddad

Michelle Bolsonaro

Geraldo Alckmin

Ratinho Junior

Gusttavo Lima

Pablo Marçal

Jair Bolsonaro

Ciro Gomes

Eduardo Leite

Ronaldo Caiado

Romeu Zema

Simone Tebet

Tabata Amaral

38

22

18

7

2

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Jun 15, 5:53 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

35.17%chance

353820

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1465

376

When will the Brazilian National Data Protection Authority (ANPD) publish its first dataset on dados.gov.br?

Feb 8, 10:24 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

143249

OptionProbability

Before 2029

Before 2030

Before 2028

Before 2027

Before 2026

Before 2025

75

75

62

56

35

0

Will there be more deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon in 2025 than in 2024?

Jan 29, 11:08 AMFeb 1, 3:59 AM

34.57%chance

102809

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3834

68

Will Lula be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Jan 9, 5:15 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

63.55%chance

241880

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1085

773

Will Jair Bolsonaro be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Jan 9, 5:17 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

5.35%chance

151429

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1479

918

Will Brazilian President Lula pass away in 2025?

Jul 27, 8:21 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

22.15%chance

191277

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1875

533

Will Jair Bolsonaro ever be a candidate again for any Brazilian presidential election?

Nov 21, 1:38 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

17%chance

10604

OptionVotes

YES

NO

178

53

Will the Brazilian Federal Government have a majority stake in Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais (CEMIG) before 2027?

Feb 6, 2:17 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM

40.8%chance

6450

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1205

830

Which Brazilian team advances furthest in Copa Libertadores 2025?

Dec 26, 1:54 AMDec 1, 2:59 AM

3243

OptionProbability

Flamengo

Palmeiras

São Paulo

Internacional

Corinthians

Botafogo

Fortaleza

Bahia

34

34

17

17

17

12

3

0

Will there be a Visa ban in effect for Brazilian citizens traveling to USA during 2026 World Cup?

Aug 2, 1:48 AMJul 31, 10:59 PM

16.99%chance

6121

OptionVotes

YES

NO

221

45

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