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Prediction markets for Brazilian
Will Brazilian ineligibility laws be revised to allow Bolsonaro to run for office in 2026?
Feb 4, 5:35 PMAug 2, 3:59 AM
6.93%chance
1617066
OptionVotes
14973
46
OptionVotes
5350
187
Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Jun 15, 5:53 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM
53.2%chance
394819
OptionVotes
1155
622
Will there be more deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon in 2025 than in 2024?
Jan 29, 11:08 AMFeb 1, 3:59 AM
29.21%chance
133310
OptionVotes
3865
53
Will Lula be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Jan 9, 5:15 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
79.92%chance
282781
OptionVotes
1389
854
Will Jair Bolsonaro be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Jan 9, 5:17 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
5.35%chance
151429
OptionVotes
1479
918
Jair Bolsonaro leaves Brazilian jurisdiction before October 4th 2026?
Aug 31, 2:24 AMOct 3, 11:59 PM
21.87%chance
5912
OptionVotes
1890
529
Will the Brazilian judiciary introduce some kind of AI jurisdiction before 2030?
Dec 26, 3:45 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
48.51%chance
18772
OptionVotes
340
78
Will the Brazilian Federal Government have a majority stake in Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais (CEMIG) before 2027?
Feb 6, 2:17 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM
40.8%chance
6450
OptionVotes
1205
830
Will the Brazilian Real surpass 7 BRL/USD at any point in 2025?
Dec 18, 10:35 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
7.71%chance
9385
OptionVotes
346
29
Will Simone Tebet be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Jun 19, 12:02 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM
25.25%chance
9183
OptionVotes
189
126
Will the São Paulo mayoral elections be a good proxy for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
May 2, 1:02 PMOct 31, 11:59 PM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100




