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Prediction markets for Budget
Will Trump balance the U.S. budget before his term ends?
Feb 7, 9:09 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
2.63%chance
7429608
OptionVotes
6082
164
OptionVotes
9950
101
ICE spends at least $25.5 billion in 2025? (budget estimate: $30 billion)
Jul 7, 4:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
4.42%chance
236354
OptionVotes
4784
250
Will the US Federal Government spend more than 1/1000th of its budget on AI Safety by 2028?
Aug 12, 9:36 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
12.47%chance
353828
OptionVotes
1165
949
Will the NIH's annual budget in 2028 be at least 50% lower than its 2024 budget in nominal dollars?
Dec 17, 4:11 PMJan 1, 1:00 AM
13.51%chance
103256
OptionVotes
3505
787
Will Annual UK Debt Interest Payments Exceed 20% of Government Budget Revenue by 2028?
May 29, 5:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
10.62%chance
32225
OptionVotes
2901
345
Will there be a decent-budget biopic about Richard Feynman to 2026 end
Sep 29, 9:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
20.62%chance
342116
OptionVotes
1741
645
Will a Nintendo Switch 2 budget model be released before 2029?
May 23, 12:16 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
75.39%chance
141634
OptionVotes
1514
124
Will annual U.S. debt interest payments exceed 20% of federal budget revenue by 2028?
May 29, 1:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
55.99%chance
12961
OptionVotes
1128
887
Medicare/Medicaid no longer #1 US budget item in 2028? (excluding defense)
Jul 9, 4:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33.95%chance
8485
OptionVotes
1395
717
Will the federal budget AND deficit AND national debt be higher when Trump ceases being president?
Nov 22, 4:03 AMJan 21, 4:59 AM
83.92%chance
18476
OptionVotes
910
502
Will there be a decent-budget biopic about Richard Stallman within ten years of his death?
Sep 29, 12:47 PMOct 7, 3:59 AM
24.88%chance
8153
OptionVotes
230
138
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