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Top stories

Microsoft Shifts Word Default Save to OneDrive Cloud

Microsoft Shifts Word Default Save to OneDrive Cloud

Authors

5

11 months ago

Prediction markets for Build

(M1000 Subsidy) UK builds 300,000 housing units in any year before 2030

Oct 10, 10:53 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

18.92%chance

7211589

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2835

709

Who first builds an Artificial General Intelligence?

Jun 13, 11:35 PMDec 30, 3:44 AM

1128518

OptionProbability

OpenAI

Anthropic

Google

A Chinese lab

Other

Other U.S. source

Meta (formerly Facebook)

28

23

17

14

9

7

2

In what year will an AI Lab in China build Artificial General Intelligence?

Mar 25, 1:29 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

217452

OptionProbability

2028-2030

2031-2033

2025-2027

2034-2036

2037-2040

31

26

15

15

13

Will Saudi Arabia build a structure at least 100m x 100m x 1000m before 2040

Aug 2, 7:33 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59%chance

296850

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1357

205

Will NYC build more housing in 2026 than 2025?

Jun 29, 2:11 AMMar 31, 10:59 PM

44.11%chance

202488

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1126

888

Will Microsoft successfully build a nuclear power plant before OpenAI claims to have AGI?

Jan 9, 5:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.5%chance

532129

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

865

6. Many more AI companies will begin building custom chips.

Dec 28, 11:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60%chance

211899

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1227

818

Will Extropic AI build thermodynamic computing hardware that runs an AI model faster/cheaper than GPU by 2030?

Mar 30, 11:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.04%chance

201554

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1076

726

Will one of the Trump Tower buildings in the United States be renamed before 2030?

Jan 16, 5:17 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

51.52%chance

19746

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1250

589

Will humanity start building a Lunar Crater Radio Telescope before 2040?

Sep 3, 11:27 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33.22%chance

17626

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

962

Will Montreal remove its 233m height limit on buildings?

Aug 4, 1:02 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

56.41%chance

10209

OptionVotes

NO

YES

138

80

Will "Relitigating the Race to Build Friendly AI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jul 25, 3:27 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Latest stories

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Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Software
Tech
Microsoft Shifts Word Default Save to OneDrive Cloud
Authors
5
11 months ago

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