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Top stories

Microsoft Shifts Word Default Save to OneDrive Cloud

Microsoft Shifts Word Default Save to OneDrive Cloud

Authors

5

8 months ago

Prediction markets for Build

(M1000 Subsidy) UK builds 300,000 housing units in any year before 2030

Oct 10, 10:53 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

18.39%chance

7211537

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2887

697

Who first builds an Artificial General Intelligence?

Jun 13, 11:35 PMDec 30, 3:44 AM

1128518

OptionProbability

OpenAI

Anthropic

Google

A Chinese lab

Other

Other U.S. source

Meta (formerly Facebook)

28

23

17

14

9

7

2

Will Saudi Arabia build a structure at least 100m x 100m x 1000m before 2040

Aug 2, 7:33 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59%chance

296850

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1357

205

In what year will an AI Lab in China build Artificial General Intelligence?

Mar 25, 1:29 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

216702

OptionProbability

2028-2030

2031-2033

2025-2027

2034-2036

2037-2040

30

25

19

14

12

US government builds first AGI-level system?

Nov 20, 5:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.8%chance

253581

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2149

465

Will Microsoft successfully build a nuclear power plant before OpenAI claims to have AGI?

Jan 9, 5:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.5%chance

532129

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

865

xAI builds truth-seeking AI before 2027?

May 7, 12:46 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

34.55%chance

131586

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1376

727

Will one of the Trump Tower buildings in the United States be renamed before 2030?

Jan 16, 5:17 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

51.52%chance

19746

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1250

589

Will humanity start building a Lunar Crater Radio Telescope before 2040?

Sep 3, 11:27 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33.22%chance

17626

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

962

Will Montreal remove its 233m height limit on buildings?

Aug 4, 1:02 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

56.41%chance

10209

OptionVotes

NO

YES

138

80

Will Embraer announce a program to build a competitor for the 737/A320 in the next 5 years?

Nov 10, 11:08 AMNov 17, 9:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Russian translation of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" appears when?

Oct 4, 3:25 PMJan 1, 4:24 PM

00

OptionProbability

Before 2025-12-31

2026-01-01 to 2026-06-30

2026-07-01 to 2026-12-31

2027-01-01 to 2027-06-30

2027-07-01 to 2027-12-31

No translation is published before 2028

17

17

17

17

17

17

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Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Software
Tech
Microsoft Shifts Word Default Save to OneDrive Cloud
Authors
5
8 months ago

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