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Top stories

Microsoft Shifts Word Default Save to OneDrive Cloud

Microsoft Shifts Word Default Save to OneDrive Cloud

Authors

5

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Build

(M1000 Subsidy) UK builds 300,000 housing units in any year before 2030

Oct 10, 10:53 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

22.88%chance

7011132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2504

796

Who first builds an Artificial General Intelligence?

Jun 13, 11:35 PMDec 30, 3:44 AM

1087684

OptionProbability

OpenAI

Google

Other

Anthropic

Other U.S. source

A Chinese lab

Meta (formerly Facebook)

34

20

18

12

7

7

2

Will Saudi Arabia build a structure at least 100m x 100m x 1000m before 2040

Aug 2, 7:33 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

70%chance

266623

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1480

138

In what year will an AI Lab in China build Artificial General Intelligence?

Mar 25, 1:29 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

174419

OptionProbability

2025-2027

2028-2030

2031-2033

2034-2036

2037-2040

29

26

21

13

11

US government builds first AGI-level system?

Nov 20, 5:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.48%chance

243431

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2100

476

Will Microsoft successfully build a nuclear power plant before OpenAI claims to have AGI?

Jan 9, 5:03 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

36.5%chance

532129

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

865

xAI builds truth-seeking AI before 2027?

May 7, 12:46 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

43.64%chance

121346

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1136

880

Will Extropic AI build thermodynamic computing hardware that runs an AI model faster/cheaper than GPU by 2030?

Mar 30, 11:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.18%chance

161321

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1148

591

Will one of the Trump Tower buildings in the United States be renamed before 2030?

Jan 16, 5:17 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

50.28%chance

18726

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1270

569

Will humanity start building a Lunar Crater Radio Telescope before 2040?

Sep 3, 11:27 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33.22%chance

17626

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1009

962

Will Montreal remove its 233m height limit on buildings?

Aug 4, 1:02 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

52.05%chance

9199

OptionVotes

NO

YES

128

88

Russian translation of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies" appears when?

Oct 4, 3:25 PMJan 1, 4:24 PM

00

OptionProbability

Before 2025-12-31

2026-01-01 to 2026-06-30

2026-07-01 to 2026-12-31

2027-01-01 to 2027-06-30

2027-07-01 to 2027-12-31

No translation is published before 2028

17

17

17

17

17

17

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Software
Tech
Microsoft Shifts Word Default Save to OneDrive Cloud
Authors
5
3 months ago

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