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Top stories

Parallels Desktop 26 Launches With macOS Tahoe, Windows 11 25H2 Support

Parallels Desktop 26 Launches With macOS Tahoe, Windows 11 25H2 Support

Authors

5

8 months ago

Prediction markets for Business

Will the exact value of Busy Beaver(6) be known before 2075?

Jan 30, 4:41 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

33.12%chance

828373

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1976

671

Will manifold.love ever be a billion dollar business?

Nov 4, 2:48 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

3.2%chance

253084

OptionVotes

NO

YES

959

933

Delaware business entity registrations in 2025 lower than 2024

Dec 3, 9:14 AMJul 2, 12:00 AM

84.94%chance

132219

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2375

421

Reviver, a digital license plate company, is out of business or failing in CA before EOY 2027

Sep 26, 7:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34%chance

16949

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1435

654

Will Elon Musk create a parent company to consolidate his various business interests (e.g., Tesla, SpaceX, etc.) by 2027

Oct 17, 10:38 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

18.14%chance

18594

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1226

917

Is the 20th Busy Beaver number independent of set theory?

Jan 31, 5:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.02%chance

18587

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1179

734

If Manifold Markets as it is now goes out of business, it continues on in a useful form

May 2, 5:52 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

80.02%chance

15413

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1169

929

Temperature market 🌡 : Meta business is good and aligned with humanity flurishing.

Feb 11, 8:10 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

21.88%chance

19413

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1321

881

If AI has an okay outcome, was it because of humanity doing something beyond business-as-usual?

Apr 7, 6:10 PMApr 7, 6:08 PM

65%chance

2411

OptionVotes

NO

YES

136

73

Will Apple have a significant change in business practices due the United States v. Apple trial?

Mar 26, 7:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

73.03%chance

12387

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1103

943

Will EA be out of business within 3 years?

Sep 29, 4:54 PMSep 29, 4:45 PM

12.43%chance

9372

OptionVotes

YES

NO

265

38

Temperature market 🌡 : OpenAI business is good and aligned with humanity flurishing.

Feb 11, 8:15 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

35.3%chance

19351

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1011

987

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