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Prediction markets for Calm Down
Will any third party gain more than 5 concurrent seats in Congress before the end of 2032
Oct 2, 4:08 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM
15.36%chance
172529
OptionVotes
1198
893
OptionProbability
50
18
14
10
8
Will a US state take an electric utility to court for a major wildfire occurring in the next 2y?
Aug 30, 3:40 PMSep 2, 5:59 AM
14.01%chance
12574
OptionVotes
394
36
Overhead electric distribution still primarily built on wood poles in 50 years?
Apr 22, 7:49 PMApr 22, 11:59 PM
56.09%chance
11561
OptionVotes
1130
885
[200M Subsidy] Will Xcel Energy be found liable for damages related to the 2021 Marshall Fire?
Sep 11, 6:17 AMFeb 2, 6:59 AM
57.6%chance
9296
OptionVotes
470
317
Will any of the current Chapo Trap House hosts quit the podcast by 2026?
Aug 30, 4:16 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
66%chance
578
OptionVotes
142
88
Will Denver mayor Mike Johnston be successful in significantly reducing homelessness during his current term?
Sep 1, 6:55 AMJul 1, 6:00 AM
42%chance
432
OptionVotes
119
102