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Prediction markets for Canary
2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.
Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
71.93%chance
163414
OptionVotes
1009
979
OptionVotes
211
96
Will "Non-Disparagement Canaries for OpenAI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
May 31, 3:38 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
16.19%chance
3160
OptionVotes
1024
863
Will "BIG-Bench Canary Contamination in GPT-4" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Nov 9, 3:50 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100
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