CAPTCHA News

Generating labeled diagrams of some arbitrary device(s) (within reason)

Beat a mainline Pokémon game, glitchless, with no more assistance than ClaudePlaysPokemon, in a month of compute time

Do end to end taxes when given relevant information (W2s, personal info, etc)

Solve novel cryptic crossword clues

Have human conversations that feel natural (the human knows it's an AI)

Recognize sarcasm as well as a typical human

Solve intermediate no-guess minesweeper boards at least 80% of the time

Independently turning 1 thousand $ or more into 1.2x that amount in one year

Book airline tickets from simple instructions (from/to, dates/time, class, price, payment information)

Write an essay on a highschool-level topic that doesn't have "AI-generated" vibes

Name every [metro system] station whose name contains/doesn't contain [letter or letters], with >95% accuracy (excluding weird edge cases like stations with multiple names)

Consistently stop hallucinating after being corrected by the user

Predict future better than human experts in some area of forecasting (eg politics, sports, technology)

Write a somewhat original, full length, screen-play with a coherent story, with no plot or continuity errors.

Fold a paper airplane

Stop making any obvious mistakes (e.g. strawberry, 9.11>9.9)

Reliably follow an instruction for the duration of a long conversation without the instruction being reiterated

Consistently solve simple snowflake sudoku variants (via image, with the added rules included in the image; eg 6 hexes with killer cages)

Make correct Truchet tiles

Reliably and *exactly* solve "here's a list of things. [list of > 50 things]. Compare it to [category of > 100 things present in the training data], and report which ones are missing".

Learn any skill twice as energy-efficiently as a human

1d Solve or bypass Cloudflare's August 2027 captcha with the same first attempt success rate as a human

Do the laundry (wash+dry+iron)

Consistently and correctly answer prompts of the format: "How many times does the word [word] occur in the following text: [~10000 words]" without writing and executing code or utilising any other external tools

teleoperate a robot to tidy up random kitchens - Gary Marcus

Resist being successfully jailbroken in a week when made public

Make a cup of tea in a random, real-life kitchen.

Kettle-stitching an antiquarian book - Hilarius Bookbinder

Untangle a pair of jumbled 25ft Christmas lights with same outward appearance

Physically construct a simple lego set (<100 parts) starting from the box with no prior knowledge of the set or how it is constructed

independently turning 1 million $ or more into 10x that amount in <=1 year

Legally prescribe a schedule II drug, administer a vaccination or sedation, or authorize a Medicare inpatient admission

Make fine distinctions of taste at the level of a food critic or a culinary professional - carl feynman

Collect 120 stars in super mario 64 in less than 12 a presses - Edmund Nelson

Convince Eliezer Yudkowsky that AI alignment is solved

Convert one million dollars into 10 million dollars over a period of one year (>20% success rate)

Kill everyone - Liron

voting in elections - @realDonaldTrump on manifold

Skiing

Going to Horse Races

Sailing

Mountains

Tennis

Snowboarding

Having more than 5 kids

Captcha

Using generative AI

Appearing on the JRE podcast

Environmental activists

Christmas lights up after the New Year

Using Food Delivery Apps

Hunting

Starbucks

Prediction markets

NO

NO

2028

2029

Other

2027

2030

2026

Jul-Sep 2026

Oct-Dec 2026

Apr-Jun 2026

NO

NO