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Prediction markets for Cesium
Will the SI second be redefined to an optical frequency standard by 01/01/2030?
Aug 2, 6:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
5%chance
71127
OptionVotes
978
102
What will the 2026 General Conference on Weights and Measures decide about the definition of the second?
Oct 17, 12:58 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM
11754
OptionProbability
40
11
7
6
5
5
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Which frequency standard will the SI second be defined from, per BIPM, on 01/01/2034?
Aug 1, 10:41 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
4323
OptionProbability
39
22
12
12
8
5
2
Will the SI second be redefined to an optical frequency standard before 2035?
Oct 16, 5:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
83.27%chance
689
OptionVotes
185
79
OptionProbability
28
12
12
12
12
12
12