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Prediction markets for Chat
Chat-style AI models will be a big part of 10% or more of workers's workflows in developed nations by 2027
Feb 2, 3:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
71.07%chance
1298015
OptionVotes
1846
1470
OptionVotes
1044
643
OptionProbability
1479
938
Was Jeffrey Goldberg deliberately added to the "Houthi PC" Signal group chat?
Mar 24, 9:25 PMJan 3, 11:59 PM
5.61%chance
203766
OptionVotes
4103
244
Will Bing Chat be the breakthrough for AI safety research?
Feb 20, 7:45 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
3.77%chance
152733
OptionVotes
3143
798
Will chatting with chatbots be seen as worse than video games for kids by 2026?
Apr 25, 3:44 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
35.28%chance
312196
OptionVotes
1079
802
OptionVotes
1112
905
OptionVotes
1958
603
Court order demanding OpenAI log deleted chats reversed by EOY2025?
Jun 5, 6:08 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM
50.22%chance
9869
OptionVotes
1004
996
Will a major AI lab claim to use activation steering in its main chat assistant by EOY 2025?
Jan 25, 9:12 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
25.15%chance
15582
OptionVotes
226
110
OptionVotes
1293
902
OptionVotes
1180
932
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