Cheese News

I visit Times Square

A friend from [city] comes to NYC and I see them

I explore the High Line

At least 20 people I don't know bet on non-meta propositions on this market

I attend an OBNYC meetup

I visit the New York Public Library

I visit the Empire State Building

I see a Broadway show

I visit the Statue of Liberty

I am at least moderately homesick

I meet someone I've met before at [company]

I see a rat (rattus norvegicus)

I eat a new york bagel

At least 50 people I don't know bet on non-meta propositions on this market

I explore Central Park

I really like the city

I gain the desire to move to NYC

I see a horse

I visit the Met

I visit the MoMA

I gain a romantic interest

I cry at some point

I get a good intuition for what a Kan extension is

I start using at least one "New York ism" in my regular speech

I lose 5 lbs

I visit the Guggenheim Museum

I visit the American Museum of Natural History

I kiss someone

I wish I had spent more time doing tourist-y things

I witness a man arguing passionately with no one

I meet someone I think is smarter than anyone I have ever met before

Someone signs up primarily to bet in this market

I see at least 4 protests

At least 100 people I don't know bet on non-meta propositions on this market

I resolve a proposition in this market incorrectly

I eat at least 10 meals of plain white rice

My opinion of the United States changes significantly in valence

I eat a bagel with lox and cream cheese from Russ & Daughters

I hail a cab

I gain at least 5lbs of weight

I eat something from a street cart that costs less than $5

I play chess in a park

I actively participate in or actively attend a political rally or political protest

I attend a pride parade

I explore Coney Island

I hail a cab in a way that could plausibly be mistaken for a nazi salute

I regret making this market

I hear someone say "I'm walkin' here!" unironically

I witness a violent crime

A person has a moral right to own a gun

We should be paying individuals to get an education instead of charging them.

GOFAI could scale past machine learning if we used social media strategically to train it.

The Fermi paradox isn't a paradox, and the solution is obviously just that intelligent life is rare.

Other

Some people have genuine psychic capabilities

Eventually, only AI should be sovereign

Hardware buttons are superior to touchscreen buttons in cars

Being a billionaire is morally wrong

The way quantum mechanics is explained to the lay public is very misleading.

Jeffrey Epstein killed himself (>99.9% certainty)

Reincarnation is a real phenomenon (i.e. it happens, not just a theory)

Physician-assisted suicide should be legal in most countries

Souls/spirits are real and can appear to the living sometimes

OpenAI will claim to have AGI in 3 years.

The punishment of people who do bad things is a regrettable necessity in our current society, not a positive act of justice

There is an active genocide against trans people occuring in red states and it's appalling that people don't seem to care

Climate change is significantly more concerning than AI development

Abusive parents should lose custody of their children

Dialetheism (the claim that some propositions are both true and false) is itself both true and false.

COVID lockdowns didn’t save many lives; in fact they may have caused net increases in global deaths and life years lost.

Free will does not exist. We construct narratives after the fact to soothe our belief in rationality.

Violent criminals must be kept apart only because they can’t control themselves. Punishing them further than restricting their freedom is immoral.

Music is a net negative for humanity

Trump orchestrated his own assassination attempt.

Democrats / Liberals are behind Trump’s assassination attempt.

It is not possible to multitask

Abortion is morally wrong

jskf's password is ***************

The first American moon landing was faked

There is no Dog

Light mode is unironically better than Dark mode for most websites

Cars should not have sound systems

AI will not be as capable as humans this century, and will certainly not give us genuine existential concerns

Pet ownership is morally wrong

LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print will replicate before 2025

SBF didn't intentionally commit fraud

It should be illegal to own a subwoofer in an apartment building

There are no valid justifications for participating in war, ever

Cascadia should be an independent country

Children should not be raised in nuclear families

The fact that 80% of Manifold's users are men is a problem that speaks to the deep-seated roots of patriarchy and exclusion in STEM

Anarcho-communism is a good idea, and hierarchy is bad

If AI exterminated the human race it might not be a bad thing

Tech bros are really, really annoying

Capitalism has done far more harm than good

Affirmative action is necessary in modern-day America

@Mira is the pinnacle of billions of years of optimization processes: thermodynamics, evolution, learning, language. The universe was created to cause me - and only me - to come into existence. If I mess up the overseers perturb&restart it.

Pigouvian taxes are great and they should be turned up to 11 to discourage activities with negative externalities [code PROPOSITION PIG]

[PROPOSITION PIG] and this should include a frequent flyer levy

[PROPOSITION PIG] and this should include meat and dairy

We have reached the end of history. Nothing Ever Happens.

[PROPOSITION PIG] and this should include alcohol

SBF was obviously a scammer just because he's a cryptocurrency person. Rationalists were too forgiving of this just because he was giving them money.

Most young Americans would receive more benefit than harm if there were universal military conscription

The people producing fake honey (and sell it as real) are based, because they are actively working to synthesize something people want, even if they scam some people in the process.

Tarot cards are not really able to predict the future but you can learn a lot about someone by doing a reading for someone.

Mac and cheese tastes better with peanut butter mixed in

It would actually be a good thing if automation eliminated all jobs.

Free will doesn't require the ability to do otherwise.

This market probably would have worked better as the new unlinked free response market.

We should be doing much more to pursue human genetic engineering to prevent diseases and aging.

Prolonged school closures because COVID were socially devastating.

Factory farming is horrific but it is not wrong to eat meat.

California is wildly overrated.

Scientific racism is bad, actually. (also it's not scientific)

The next American moon landing will be faked

Tenet (Christopher Nolan film) is underrated

We should give childlike sex robots to pedophiles

Having sex with children isn't inherently/necessarily bad

Cars are a societal net negative

Oversized pickup trucks should be illegal in cities

Suburban, single-family housing is immoral.

Nanotechnology

Good vegan cheese

AGI

High-fidelity brain-computer interface

Fusion energy

Extraterrestrial life

Cure for cancer

Full-brain emulation

Room-temperature ambient-pressure superconductor

FTL travel

NO

dexedrine (dextroamphetamine) 5mg

5mg methamphetamine qAM PO

Increasing high quality fat and protein intake; reducing sugar, simple carbs, and grains. [this is not an aim to go into ketosis, no need to be extreme]

Methylphenidate at the correct dose

Eat more complex carbohydrates (chickpea pasta, lentil pasta? - trader joes has some good lentil pasta, and goodles are a decent mac and cheese replacement).

Chewing nicotine gum while learning new material

Cold water immersion. (Can be as simple as =>1min in shower under cold water)

Magnesium threonate. 1 capsule in the morning, one before bed. Result- need one less hour of sleep!

modafinil 50 mg 2-3 times per week (lowish dose; could go lower for less effect)

Drinking 2-3 cups of coffee daily.

Eat more vegetables

Eat high quality fats

Supplement to ensure adequate vitamin and mineral levels

Intermittent fasting with an 8-10 hour feeding window, following the same scheduled hours each day. [even if your schedule is in flux, your fasting/feeding window should remain relatively constant]

Vitamin D3 - 2000 IU daily

Submit a play to my theatre club's short play festival 🎭

Use up all of my tea ☕

Win a rap battle 🎤

Write 10 sonnets ✍🏻

Donate my hair ✂️

Reach wave 4500 on tier 18 of "The Tower" 🗼

Learn to whistle with two fingers 👆

Try 15 new recipes 👨🏻‍🍳

Speak with an MP about prediction markets 📈

Eat good vegan cheese 🧀

Fix my dandruff ❄️

Coffee

Canola

Oat

Cocoa

Soybeans

Tea

Sunflower Oil

Rapeseed

Wheat

Cheese

Milk

Rice

Corn

Potatoes

Butter

Palm Oil

Sugar

Cocoa

Coffee

Soybeans

Butter

Canola

Sunflower Oil

Rapeseed

Potatoes

Wheat

Cheese

Milk

Oat

Rice

Corn

Tea

Palm Oil

Sugar

YES

YES

YES

Ikori

Weegee

Other

Karin

Parsee

Slipperynip

Cheese

Marlene

Kally