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Clarke News

    Prediction markets for Clarke

    Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?

    Aug 19, 11:47 PMFeb 19, 4:59 AM
    17631926798

    OptionProbability

    Gavin Newsom

    Other

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

    Pete Buttigieg

    Josh Shapiro

    Kamala Harris

    Mark Kelly

    J.B. Pritzker

    Jon Ossoff

    Gretchen Whitmer

    Raphael Warnock

    Andy Beshear

    Wes Moore

    Ro Khanna

    Ruben Gallego

    Michelle Obama

    Amy Klobuchar

    Cory Booker

    Kathy Hochul

    Mark Cuban

    Jamie Raskin

    Jon Stewart

    None

    John Fetterman

    Hillary Clinton

    Joe Biden

    Jeff Jackson

    Jared Polis

    Mitch Landrieu

    Roy Cooper

    Dianne Feinstein

    Jimmy Carter

    Tim Walz

    Chuck Schumer

    Tim Kaine

    Bernie Sanders

    Tammy Duckworth

    Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

    Elizabeth Warren

    Michael Bloomberg

    Dwayne Johnson

    [Duplicate - Invalid]

    Hakeem Jeffries

    Andrew Yang

    Steven Kenneth "Destiny" Bonnell II

    Dean Phillips

    Bob Ferguson

    Jay Inslee

    Anthony Blinken

    Susan Rice

    Scott Wiener

    Donald Trump

    Sam Altman

    Jeff Merkley

    Merrick Garland

    Taylor Swift

    Tammy Baldwin

    Katie Porter

    Phil Murphy

    Cenk Uygur

    Joe Manchin

    Sherrod Brown

    Chris Murphy

    Brian Schatz

    John Bel Edwards

    Clark Duke

    Stacey Abrams

    Nina Turner

    john smith

    Duplicate ignore

    Gina Raimondo

    Ron Desantis

    Beto O'Rourke

    Vermin Supreme

    Hunter Biden

    Invalid answer

    John Jacob

    Alex Jones

    Bob Roberston the IV

    Marie Gluesenkamp Perez

    Stephen A Smith

    27

    17

    9

    6

    6

    4

    4

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Which Coaches Are Out In The Southeastern Conference? Coaching Carousel 2025-26

    Jun 6, 9:30 PMMar 15, 11:59 PM
    178726

    OptionProbability

    Arkansas - Sam Pittman

    Auburn - Hugh Freeze

    Florida - Billy Napier

    Kentucky - Mark Stoops

    LSU - Brian Kelly

    Ole Miss - Lane Kiffin

    Mississippi State - Jeff Lebby

    Alabama - Kalen DeBoer

    South Carolina - Shane Beamer

    Missouri - Eli Drinkwitz

    Vanderbilt - Clark Lea

    Texas - Steve Sarkisian

    Oklahoma - Brent Venables

    Tennessee - Josh Heupel

    Texas A&M - Mike Elko

    Georgia - Kirby Smart

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    12

    10

    10

    8

    8

    5

    4

    4

    3

    1

    Who will be the next person appointed as a Supreme Court Justice in the USA?

    May 3, 2:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    343086

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Andrew Oldham

    Ted Cruz

    Kristen Clarke

    Elizabeth Prelogar

    Merrick Garland

    Leondra Kruger

    Sri Srinivasan

    Lucy Koh

    Michelle Alexander

    Brigitte Amiri

    Mike Lee

    Cheri Beasley

    Richard Boulware

    Xavier Becerra

    Rudy Giuliani

    62

    11

    11

    3

    3

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Who will be the next CEO of OpenAI, after Sam Altman?

    Nov 22, 9:50 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
    262614

    OptionProbability

    Other

    [None - Position will cease to exist]

    Mira Murati

    Elon Musk

    Sam Altman

    Greg Brockman

    Bret Taylor

    Larry Summers

    Adam D'Angelo

    Andrej Karpathy

    Eric Schmidt

    Paul Graham

    Peter Thiel

    Wojciech Zaremba

    Ben Horowitz

    Jessica Livingston

    Marc Benioff

    Sheryl Sandberg

    Tim Cook

    John Doerr

    Reed Hastings

    Fei Fei Lee

    Alexander Wang

    George Hotz

    Brad Lightcap

    Bob Mcgrew

    Peter Welinder

    Jason Kwon

    Mark Chen

    Helen Toner

    Ilya Sutskever

    Emmett Shear

    Dario Amodei

    Satya Nadela

    Jeff Bezos

    Demis Hassabis

    Robin Li

    Clément Delangue

    Lila Ibrahim

    Alex Karp

    Reid Hoffman

    Raquel Urtasun

    Marc Andreessen

    Aidan Gomez

    Sandra Rivera

    Gary Marcus

    Jaime Teevan

    Sundar Pichai

    Jack Clark

    Anna Makanju

    Shane Legg

    Andrew Ng

    Pushmeet Kohli

    Yann LeCun

    Mark Zuckerberg

    Yoshua Bengio

    Hinton

    Marissa Mayer

    Spencer Rascoff

    Garry Tan

    51

    12

    5

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

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    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Which cases brought by or maintained by the federal government will be dropped during the Trump presidency?

    Dec 9, 2:25 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
    72197

    OptionProbability

    KalshiEX LLC v. CFTC (ban on prediction markets for elections)

    Clarke v. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (PredictIt Case)

    Ryan v. FTC (Non-compete ban case)

    United States v. Sam Bankman-Fried

    U.S. and Plaintiff States v. Google LLC (Google antitrust case)

    Federal Trade Commission, et al. v. Amazon.com, Inc. (Amazon antitrust case)

    U.S and Plaintiff States v. Apple Inc. (Apple antitrust case)

    United States v. Binance Holdings (charges against Binance for iolating several laws, including the Bank Secrecy Act, the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, and the Commodity Exchange Act)

    Federal Trade Commission v. Microsoft Corp. and Activision Blizzard, Inc (Attempt to block Microsoft's merger/acquisition of Activision Blizzard)

    United States v. Meta Platforms, Inc. (Meta antitrust case)

    Food and Drug Administration v. Wages and White Lion Investments, LLC (E-cigarette supreme court case)

    TikTok Inc. v. Merrick Garland (TikTok Ban)

    United States v. Skrmetti (ban on transgender health care for minors)

    100

    50

    50

    32

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    31

    3

    0

    0

    Who will be the next female Speaker of the House?

    Mar 23, 2:47 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    171399

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC)

    Katherine Clark

    Marjorie Taylor Greene (MTG)

    81

    14

    4

    1

    Who will become the next governor of Texas after Greg Abbott?

    Jul 5, 10:34 PMJul 11, 8:59 PM
    131211

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Dan Patrick

    Will Hurd

    Eric Johnson

    Dave Clark

    James Talarico

    Ken Paxton

    37

    27

    15

    7

    5

    5

    4

    Will Caitlin Clark win WNBA MVP in any season from 2024-2028?

    May 27, 11:53 PMDec 21, 4:59 AM
    54.84%chance
    191032

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1102

    908

    Who will succeed Mark Carney as the next leader of the Liberal Party of Canada?

    Mar 11, 9:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    10189

    OptionProbability

    Other

    Chrystia Freeland

    Mélanie Joly

    Karina Gould

    Justin Trudeau

    François-Philippe Champagne

    Anita Anand

    Marc Garneau

    Dominic LeBlanc

    Sean Fraser

    Christy Clark

    45

    12

    8

    5

    5

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    Which male golfers will be ranked as No. 1 player in the world at any point in their life?

    Apr 19, 3:53 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM
    5128

    OptionProbability

    Xander Schauffele

    Collin Morikawa

    Ludvig Åberg

    Viktor Hovland

    Patrick Cantlay

    Wyndham Clark

    65

    64

    63

    34

    34

    17

    Which novelettes will be *nominated* for a Hugo award in 2026?

    Jan 7, 2:51 AMApr 2, 6:59 AM
    195

    OptionProbability

    Rapport: Friendship, Solidarity, Communion, Empathy - Martha Wells

    When He Calls Your Name - Catherynne M. Valente

    The Tin Man's Ghost - Ray Nayler

    Making Space - R.F. Kuang

    Cronus - P. Djèlí Clark

    The Name Ziya - Wen-yi Lee

    Four People I Need You to Kill Before the Dance Begins - Louis Inglis Hall

    Our Echoes Drifting Through the Marsh - Marie Croke

    Human Voices - Isabel J. Kim

    Something Rich and Strange - L.S. Johnson

    60

    55

    50

    45

    40

    35

    30

    30

    25

    20

    Asimov, Clarke, Heinlein

    Aug 19, 11:00 PM
    120

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