Claude Opus News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Claude Opus
OptionProbability
20
14
10
9
8
8
8
8
6
4
4
2
Which new words will Anthropic use to name Claude models? (Haiku, Sonnet, Opus, Fable, Mythos, ...)
Jun 14, 2:36 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
395794
OptionProbability
23
23
19
17
16
16
15
13
12
11
11
10
9
8
7
4
3
2
OptionVotes
2432
411
OptionProbability
95
92
92
89
82
78
75
65
60
Claude 3 Opus model weights publicly available by EOY 2030?
Jul 1, 9:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
21.74%chance
7915
OptionVotes
1897
527
Will "Did Claude 3 Opus align itself via gradient h..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Feb 22, 3:23 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
75.63%chance
12848
OptionVotes
1511
79
Will "Claude 4.5 Opus' Soul Document" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Nov 29, 10:29 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
18.8%chance
9460
OptionVotes
1051
739
Will "what makes Claude 3 Opus misaligned" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Sep 11, 4:26 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
13.62%chance
5415
OptionVotes
1028
996
Will "Claude Opus 4.6 is Driven" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Feb 7, 6:43 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
11.56%chance
5237
OptionVotes
1208
970
Will "Insights into Claude Opus 4.5 from Pokémon" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Dec 11, 6:24 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14%chance
00
OptionVotes
1000
1000
Latest stories
Latest stories