conflict in Gaza News
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Prediction markets for conflict in Gaza
OptionProbability
38
34
19
7
1
0
0
Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict?
Jan 29, 10:42 AMDec 29, 12:59 AM
15.56%chance
5210389
OptionVotes
2151
599
Will Israel be victorious in the current Gaza-Israel conflict? [According to Wikipedia]
Oct 10, 2:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
39.42%chance
368684
OptionVotes
1417
446
OptionVotes
1216
822
Will there be a Gaza ceasefire and hostage deal before September 2025?
Jul 28, 3:04 AMAug 31, 11:59 PM
6.58%chance
425564
OptionVotes
3768
265
Will 5,000+ Gazans starve to death as a result of the current conflict?
Mar 19, 2:07 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
15.66%chance
394363
OptionVotes
1158
906
Has Israel used recordings of crying children or distressed women to lure Palestinians out of hiding?
Apr 18, 2:44 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM
14.42%chance
311958
OptionVotes
1455
838
Will Indonesia open embassy in Israel before the end of 2025
Apr 11, 4:51 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM
13.54%chance
201473
OptionVotes
2249
630
In 2026, what will Wikipedia say was the result of the October 2023 Gaza−Israel conflict
Oct 7, 8:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
361455
OptionProbability
36
30
25
6
2
1
0
What will be true about the next person to win the Nobel Prize for Literature in 2025?
Oct 10, 6:50 PMNov 2, 3:59 AM
24796
OptionProbability
96
96
69
69
63
62
61
52
50
50
35
31
28
26
16
15
14
14
10
10
9
8
3
1
1
Will China volunteer to send peacekeepers to secure post-conflict Gaza?
Jan 6, 4:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
14.4%chance
23628
OptionVotes
1110
960
Which issues will Donald Trump propose or imply can be solved with tariffs?
Jan 25, 11:29 PMFeb 2, 10:59 PM
8251
OptionProbability
100
93
90
90
82
80
78
67
31
28
25
24
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