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Prediction markets for Congress
Will a member of Congress or a federal judge be arrested and held without bail?
Apr 28, 7:29 PMApr 29, 7:28 PM
38.56%chance
237773
OptionVotes
12623
7922
Will Congress pass sweeping deregulatory measures by the end of 2026?
Feb 27, 5:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
57.84%chance
251966
OptionVotes
1171
854
Will Hunter Biden run for US Congress or President during his lifetime?
Jun 5, 4:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
31.35%chance
14866
OptionVotes
1480
676
Will there be a fistfight or other similar physical altercation in US Congress (house or senate) before 2030?
Sep 26, 5:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
41.03%chance
17805
OptionVotes
1199
834
Will Congress ameliorate the ACA subsidy cliff for the 2026 tax year?
Apr 14, 8:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
26.93%chance
4455
OptionVotes
1355
886
Will someone with the name Rigoberto/Rigobert win an Oscar, Olympic Gold Medal, or a US Congress Election by EOY2028?
Feb 14, 2:41 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
20.43%chance
16281
OptionVotes
1227
920
Will the JAWBONE Act be enacted into law in the 119th Congress?
Jun 11, 10:12 PMJan 3, 11:59 AM
49.52%chance
4223
OptionVotes
1010
990
If Democrats win the House in 2026, will Congress ban its members from trading individual stocks before Jan 3, 2029?
Oct 7, 2:50 AMJan 3, 5:00 PM
30.93%chance
2150
OptionVotes
1077
801
If Republicans keep the Senate in 2026, will the Senate confirm at least 40 federal judges in the 120th Congress?
Oct 7, 2:54 AMJan 3, 5:00 PM
66.69%chance
150
OptionVotes
1050
974
If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will Congress ban its members from trading individual stocks before Jan 3, 2029?
Oct 7, 2:50 AMJan 3, 5:00 PM
15%chance
00
OptionVotes
1000
1000
If a Republican wins the presidency in 2028, will Congress enact a federal abortion-rights law before Jan 20, 2033?
Oct 7, 2:53 AMJan 20, 5:00 PM
1%chance
00
OptionVotes
1000
1000
Where will the 11th U.S. National Eucharistic Congress in 2029 take place?
Dec 12, 4:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
00
OptionProbability
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
8
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