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3 months ago

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 11th Congressional District

Oct 17, 12:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3999561

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Connie Chan

Saikat Chakrabarti

Other

Nancy Pelosi

Christine Pelosi

London Breed

Jingchao Xiong

Darren Helton

Treasury shuts off Congressionally authorized payments to Department of Education by December 31, 2025

Feb 4, 4:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.15%chance

3235132

OptionVotes

YES

25336

2901

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?

Jul 10, 1:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.57%chance

173990

OptionVotes

YES

4117

243

If Trump wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?

Jun 30, 7:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

17.31%chance

163092

OptionVotes

YES

3237

737

Will Lula's 3rd term in Brazil have above-average (>75%) congressional support?

Nov 12, 5:42 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM

44.25%chance

161333

OptionVotes

YES

1087

861

Will gerrymandering U.S. Congressional districts be illegal in the U.S. by 2030?

Aug 5, 6:05 PMNov 5, 6:54 PM

16.1%chance

19829

OptionVotes

YES

1212

937

Will there be a United States congressional hearing about the CrowdStrike-caused IT outage?

Jul 19, 10:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

74.68%chance

11627

OptionVotes

YES

172

Who wins Missouri's 1st congressional district Democratic primary in 2026?

Sep 29, 6:45 AMNov 2, 10:59 PM

3151

OptionProbability

Cori Bush

Wesley Bell

Other

Madison Cawthorne wins his Florida congressional race?

Nov 14, 10:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.29%chance

4115

OptionVotes

YES

130

Which party will win the Guatemala's 2027 Congressional election?

Jul 28, 5:51 AMJan 1, 5:48 AM

1112

OptionProbability

Movimiento Semilla

UNE

Cabal

Vamos

VIVA

Valor

Todos

VOS

Bienestar Nacional (BIEN)

Nosotros

Cambio

CREO

Other

Will there be any Congressional Special Election flips in the 119th Congress?

Dec 4, 10:41 PMNov 3, 10:59 PM

24.6%chance

2105

OptionVotes

YES

175

Citizens Redistricting Commission resumes congressional district maps in 2031?

Nov 19, 6:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

1100

909

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Who will win the 2026 election for California's 11th Congressional District

Treasury shuts off Congressionally authorized payments to Department of Education by December 31, 2025

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?

If Trump wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?

Will Lula's 3rd term in Brazil have above-average (>75%) congressional support?

Will gerrymandering U.S. Congressional districts be illegal in the U.S. by 2030?

Will there be a United States congressional hearing about the CrowdStrike-caused IT outage?

Who wins Missouri's 1st congressional district Democratic primary in 2026?

Madison Cawthorne wins his Florida congressional race?

Which party will win the Guatemala's 2027 Congressional election?

Will there be any Congressional Special Election flips in the 119th Congress?

Citizens Redistricting Commission resumes congressional district maps in 2031?

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