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Who will win the 2026 election for California's 11th Congressional District

Oct 17, 12:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43125821

OptionProbability

Scott Wiener

Connie Chan

Saikat Chakrabarti

Nancy Pelosi

Christine Pelosi

London Breed

Other

Jingchao Xiong

Darren Helton

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?

Jul 10, 1:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.39%chance

194540

OptionVotes

YES

4667

214

Will a democrat win the CA 1st congressional district special election to replace Doug LaMalfa?

Jan 6, 5:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.85%chance

53193

OptionVotes

YES

1948

513

Congressional Survivor: Who will be the final member in Congress?

Mar 14, 2:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

221911

OptionProbability

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, AOC (D: NY-14)

Josh Hawley (R: MO)

Rashida Tlaib (D: MI-12)

Jon Ossoff (D: GA)

Maxwell Frost (D: FL-10)

Cori Bush (D: MO-1)

Matt Gaetz (R: FL-1)

Will Lula's 3rd term in Brazil have above-average (>75%) congressional support?

Nov 12, 5:42 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM

40.84%chance

181410

OptionVotes

YES

1030

938

Who will win the U.S. House seat for Minnesota's 1st Congressional District in November 2026?

Sep 5, 8:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31075

OptionProbability

Brad Finstad

Jake Johnson

Oliver Morlan

Other

Will gerrymandering U.S. Congressional districts be illegal in the U.S. by 2030?

Aug 5, 6:05 PMNov 5, 6:54 PM

16.1%chance

19829

OptionVotes

YES

1212

937

Who will win the 2026 election for New York's 7th Congressional District?

Nov 21, 5:01 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM

3344

OptionProbability

Antonio Reynoso

Claire Valdez

Other

Julia Salazar

Sandy Nurse

Madison Cawthorne wins his Florida congressional race?

Nov 14, 10:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.75%chance

5175

OptionVotes

YES

190

Citizens Redistricting Commission resumes congressional district maps in 2031?

Nov 19, 6:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

1100

OptionVotes

YES

1100

909

Senate or Congressional hearings dealing specifically/exclusively with Wikipedia/WMF by UTC 23:59 Christmas Eve 2027?

Oct 7, 4:06 AMDec 24, 11:59 PM

58.2%chance

218

OptionVotes

YES

118

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 14th Congressional District

Jan 9, 5:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

OptionProbability

Matt Ortega

Abrar Qadir

Aisha Wahab

Other

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Who will win the 2026 election for California's 11th Congressional District

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?

Will a democrat win the CA 1st congressional district special election to replace Doug LaMalfa?

Congressional Survivor: Who will be the final member in Congress?

Will Lula's 3rd term in Brazil have above-average (>75%) congressional support?

Who will win the U.S. House seat for Minnesota's 1st Congressional District in November 2026?

Will gerrymandering U.S. Congressional districts be illegal in the U.S. by 2030?

Who will win the 2026 election for New York's 7th Congressional District?

Madison Cawthorne wins his Florida congressional race?

Citizens Redistricting Commission resumes congressional district maps in 2031?

Senate or Congressional hearings dealing specifically/exclusively with Wikipedia/WMF by UTC 23:59 Christmas Eve 2027?

Who will win the 2026 election for California's 14th Congressional District

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