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Top stories

OpenAI Adds Connectors, Persistent Chats to Responses API

Authors

4

7 days ago

Prediction markets for Conversations

Will AI enable a successful conversation between a human and a member of a non-human species by the end of 2030?

Oct 20, 5:08 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

81.29%chance

606189

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1860

594

Claude Opus wrong to terminate conversation?

Aug 15, 7:57 PMDec 31, 8:51 PM

31.3%chance

553760

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1482

675

Meaningful two-way conversation between a dolphin/whale and a human before 2040

Sep 29, 5:01 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

32.77%chance

342620

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1042

789

Will Bonfire be more popular than Twitter for "important conversation", by July 1st 2026 (mid-year)

Feb 24, 7:17 AMJun 30, 12:01 PM

3.42%chance

172340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2675

858

Will Eliezer Yudkowsky reveal the text of the conversations from the AI box escape experiment by the end of 2030?

May 27, 5:23 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

11.88%chance

232149

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2724

367

Will a major dating app use LLMs to simulate conversations by Valentine's Day 2026?

Feb 14, 1:02 AMFeb 15, 7:59 AM

46.76%chance

202135

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10868

9165

Grok adds terminate conversation button by 3/1/26?

Aug 17, 1:02 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM

66.74%chance

361789

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1416

706

Will Tower ever make his infamous conversion posts?

Dec 21, 2:47 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

10.46%chance

181748

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1402

904

Will there be easy auto-translation of the entire Chinese Internet into English by 2027? (such that people in America can easily and regularly hold conversations with people in China - with minimal loss of interpretation)?

Oct 4, 12:39 AMOct 11, 3:59 AM

74.79%chance

26735

OptionVotes

YES

NO

998

935

Will humans be able to have a basic conversation with whales before 2027 using LLMs?

Oct 10, 2:56 AMJan 1, 9:59 PM

27.55%chance

23653

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1033

978

will I speak conversational Russian by the time I graduate Minerva University in 2028

May 24, 6:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.1%chance

7633

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1022

978

Will charged lepton flavor violation via muon to electron conversion be observed by 2030?

Mar 14, 3:40 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.98%chance

11284

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1086

947

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Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Software
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OpenAI Adds Connectors, Persistent Chats to Responses API
Authors
4
7 days ago

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