COVID News

USAID Shipped 11,000 Viral Samples From Yunnan to Chinese Military-Linked Wuhan Lab Without Formal Agreement

24 days ago

China

India

Politics

India Restarts Tourist Visas for Chinese Citizens After Five-Year Freeze

10 days ago

Chile

Tariffs

Politics

Chilean PDG Candidate Parisi Proposes Drug Testing, Salary Cap, Defends Piñera, Supports Trump Tariffs, Calls to Fortify Border

4 days ago

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?

Sep 1, 3:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

44.29%chance

20474293091

OptionVotes

YES

13959

7310

Scott Alexander is planning a COVID origins bet. If there is a debate, will judges conclude COVID came from a lab leak?

Apr 9, 1:33 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

19.25%chance

183266085

OptionVotes

YES

17639

7122

Will my resolution of the COVID-19 lab leak market be controversial?

Mar 31, 12:45 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

25.12%chance

9339567

OptionVotes

YES

1470

879

Will US life expectancy recover from its 2020-2021 "Covid" drop to exceed its 2019 level by 2029?

Oct 24, 3:48 AMDec 31, 2:59 PM

80%chance

4624367

OptionVotes

YES

3882

2007

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory? (2050 Poll)

Mar 26, 12:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.02%chance

413455

OptionVotes

YES

1273

642

Will I test positive for COVID by end of 2025?

Mar 17, 2:06 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

17.6%chance

382266

OptionVotes

YES

2132

294

Covid a lab leak?

Sep 24, 12:31 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

59.76%chance

291883

OptionVotes

YES

1179

856

In 2035, will there be a scientific consensus that at least 1000 Americans died as a direct result of the Covid vaccine?

Sep 16, 4:24 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

63.14%chance

381771

OptionVotes

YES

1344

716

If Covid is a lab leak, which lab did it leak from?

Dec 30, 11:24 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

181453

OptionProbability

UNC

Fort Detrick

Wuhan Institute of Virology, Wuchang campus

Wuhan CDC

Wuhan Institute of Virology, Jiangxia campus

Huazhong Agricultural University in Wuhan

Other

Wuhan University

VECTOR lab in Russia

Canadian National Microbiology Lab in Winnipeg, Manitoba

Wuhan Institute of Biological Products

Will a global pandemic of a novel infectious disease, similar to COVID-19, occur by 2030?

Jan 11, 6:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

36.95%chance

301356

OptionVotes

YES

1115

694

Will the "Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?" market trading volume exceed M$10 million before Q4, 2025?

Jan 11, 11:09 AMOct 1, 10:59 PM

41.38%chance

51310

OptionVotes

YES

1190

840

Will there be a pandemic at least as deadly as COVID-19 by March 1st 2044?

Feb 29, 11:21 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

63.21%chance

241238

OptionVotes

YES

1488

437

Latest stories

Jul 29, 2025
Jul 29, 2025
Chile
Tariffs
Politics
Chilean PDG Candidate Parisi Proposes Drug Testing, Salary Cap, Defends Piñera, Supports Trump Tariffs, Calls to Fortify Border
Authors
3
4 days ago
Jul 23, 2025
Jul 23, 2025
China
India
Politics
India Restarts Tourist Visas for Chinese Citizens After Five-Year Freeze
Authors
10
10 days ago
Jul 9, 2025
Jul 9, 2025
China
US Domestic Policy
Bio
USAID Shipped 11,000 Viral Samples From Yunnan to Chinese Military-Linked Wuhan Lab Without Formal Agreement
Authors
17
24 days ago

Join our channels

Get the latest stories live on any device.

WhatsApp
Top Stories
Join
Telegram
Top Stories
Join

COVID News

Top stories

Prediction markets for COVID

Prediction markets for COVID

Prediction markets for COVID

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?

Scott Alexander is planning a COVID origins bet. If there is a debate, will judges conclude COVID came from a lab leak?

Will my resolution of the COVID-19 lab leak market be controversial?

Will US life expectancy recover from its 2020-2021 "Covid" drop to exceed its 2019 level by 2029?

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory? (2050 Poll)

Will I test positive for COVID by end of 2025?

Covid a lab leak?

In 2035, will there be a scientific consensus that at least 1000 Americans died as a direct result of the Covid vaccine?

If Covid is a lab leak, which lab did it leak from?

Will a global pandemic of a novel infectious disease, similar to COVID-19, occur by 2030?

Will the "Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?" market trading volume exceed M$10 million before Q4, 2025?

Will there be a pandemic at least as deadly as COVID-19 by March 1st 2044?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram