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Prediction markets for Creator Classic
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?
Feb 13, 4:17 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
57.52%chance
22502116976
OptionVotes
5053
3728
Will the purported construction of a complex structure on S^6 by Levent Alpöge turn out to be correct?
Aug 23, 11:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
89.94%chance
12682
OptionVotes
299
33
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?
Aug 1, 4:22 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
67.6%chance
5298
OptionVotes
154
58
Does being smart and innovative require that AIs can never truly, deeply conform to social rules? [In development still]
Dec 22, 8:25 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM
65.02%chance
9125
OptionVotes
194
119
OptionVotes
161
15
OptionProbability
65
55
51
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