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Prediction markets for DC
Will the FBI arrest a suspect for the January 5, 2021 DC pipe bomb incidents before January 5, 2026?
Sep 18, 1:15 PMJan 6, 4:59 AM
11.36%chance
93393
OptionVotes
2794
358
Will there be a Marvel and DC Comics crossover movie released by the end of 2028?
May 8, 11:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
14.49%chance
111503
OptionVotes
2370
498
If Trump wins, will active-duty military be used to control protests/riots in DC?
Mar 11, 3:38 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
40.75%chance
22858
OptionVotes
1120
906
During the Trump presidency, will median home prices in Washington DC dip below 500k?
Nov 9, 12:52 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
41.59%chance
9585
OptionVotes
1185
844
Ramzan Kadyrov visits and publicly appears in London, Paris, Berlin, New York or Washington DC before 2032
May 11, 7:15 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
9.28%chance
10402
OptionVotes
1247
941
OptionVotes
1021
962
OptionVotes
1013
978
Will Daylight Computers Release a second generation of the DC-1 tablet before 2028?
May 24, 6:43 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM
58.84%chance
5201
OptionVotes
1196
836
Will DC metro trains (all lines) have no staff onboard by 2035?
May 20, 12:33 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
45%chance
491
OptionVotes
111
90
Will any US state or DC use proportional representation for their state legislatures by the end of 2028?
Feb 20, 4:44 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
22.57%chance
573
OptionVotes
203
95
Will DC Comics prevent the Fables intellectual property from entering the public domain before August 2026?
Sep 18, 5:46 AMAug 18, 6:59 AM
31.3%chance
562
OptionVotes
141
90
Will "One Year in DC" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
May 21, 11:16 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
14%chance
00
OptionVotes
1000
1000
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