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Prediction markets for Death Tax
OptionVotes
987
545
Will Warren Buffet family's yet-to-be-named ~$127B charitable trust donate to any Effective Altruist orgs prior to 2030?
Jul 2, 9:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
35.93%chance
131580
OptionVotes
1759
1287
OptionProbability
82
67
27
18
17
11
11
9
9
9
9
9
9
8
8
8
6
6
6
5
5
5
4
4
3
2
2
2
Will the End Kidney Deaths Act or similar legislation providing at least $25k to kidney donors pass in 2025?
Mar 12, 5:39 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM
29.2%chance
10487
OptionVotes
751
519
Will "Washington DC" "Tax 2A to DEATH!" (for example by introducing a "1000% Tax on Guns!") before 2030?
Aug 27, 4:54 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
18.48%chance
676
OptionVotes
246
138
Will "Washington DC" "Tax 2A to DEATH!" (for example by introducing a "1000% Tax on Guns!") before 2040?
Aug 27, 4:54 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
28.46%chance
643
OptionVotes
213
145
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