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Dell News

    Prediction markets for Dell

    Who will be the richest person at the end of 2030?

    Jan 2, 11:35 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
    37778077

    OptionProbability

    Elon Musk

    Other

    Jensen Huang

    Larry Ellison

    Jeff Bezos

    Mark Zuckerberg

    Sam Altman

    Bernard Arnault

    Larry Page

    Satoshi Nakamoto

    Vladimir Putin

    Sergey Brin

    Vitalik Buterin

    Donald Trump

    Michael Saylor

    Bill Gates

    Warren Buffett

    me

    Steve Ballmer

    Gautam Adani

    Mukesh Ambani

    An AGI

    Brian Armstrong

    Changpeng “CZ” Zhao

    Tim Draper

    Jack Dorsey

    Winklevoss Tyler/Cameron

    @Mira

    Michael Dell

    Amancio Ortega

    Carlos Slim Helu

    Eric Schmidt

    Masayoshi Son

    Dave Tepper

    Ken Griffin

    Eduardo Saverin

    Morris Chang

    35

    28

    12

    5

    3

    3

    3

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    OptionProbability

    Andrej Karpathy

    Ilya Sutskever

    Joe Henrich

    Scott Alexander

    Sarah Paine

    Tamay Besiroglu

    Destiny

    Bill Gates

    Joe Carlsmith

    Jack Clark

    Sam Altman

    Zvi Mowshowitz

    Yann LeCun

    Robin Hanson

    Robert Caro

    Matt Levine

    George Hotz

    Guillaume Verdon (@BasedBeffJezos on X)

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    François Chollet

    Patrick McKenzie

    Joscha Bach

    Michael Levin

    Helen Toner

    Ajeya Cotra

    Michael Dell

    David Reich

    Curtis Yarvin

    Richard Hanania

    Janus @repligate

    Amanda Askell

    Noam Brown

    Ian Morris

    Nick Bostrom

    Tanner Greer

    roon

    Tyler Cowen (not including interview at the Progress Conference released 9th Jan)

    Liang Wenfeng (CEO of DeepSeek)

    Hans Moravec

    Paul J Werbos

    Sundar Pichai

    Mustafa Suleyman

    Nate Soares

    Doris Taylor

    agnes callard

    Elon Musk

    Jeff Bezos

    Kamala Harris

    Donald Trump

    Bill Clinton

    Mira Murati

    Demis Hassabis

    Barack Obama

    Charles III

    Xiao Hong (CEO of Manus AI)

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    5

    5

    5

    5

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    4

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    Who will be the first trillionaire?

    Nov 9, 3:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
    10016566

    OptionProbability

    Elon Musk

    Other

    Larry Ellison

    Jeff Bezos

    Sam Altman

    Bernard Arnault

    Jensen Huang

    Michael Saylor

    Larry Page

    Sergey Brin

    Steve Ballmer

    William Ding

    Mohammed bin Salman

    Vladimir Putin

    Michael Dell

    @jim

    55

    29

    5

    4

    2

    1

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Next stock to move >10% on an OpenAI partnership?

    Oct 6, 9:44 PMDec 31, 10:36 PM
    135943

    OptionProbability

    Other

    CoreWeave

    Vimeo

    TSMC

    Oklo

    Peloton Interactive

    Intel

    GE Vernova

    Micron

    Adobe

    IBM

    AMD

    Eli Lilly

    Oracle

    Apple

    SMCI

    Dell

    Microsoft

    Broadcom

    41

    12

    11

    6

    5

    4

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    Who will be guests on the Dwarkesh Patel podcast in 2026?

    Nov 27, 12:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    144938

    OptionProbability

    Sarah Paine

    Dylan Patel (as guest)

    Dwarkesh Patel (see note)

    Dean Ball

    Demis Hassabis

    Satya Nadella

    Holden Karnofsky

    Tamay Besiroglu

    Sundar Pichai

    Alec Radford

    Yann LeCun

    Jeff Bezos

    François Chollet

    Joscha Bach

    Joe Carlsmith

    Jack Clark

    Jensen Huang

    Tyler Cowen

    Sam Altman

    Michael Dell

    Mira Murati

    Amanda Askell

    Ilya Sutskever

    Mark Zuckerberg

    Elon Musk

    Bill Gates

    roon

    Paul J Werbos

    Matt Levine

    George Hotz

    Helen Toner

    Ajeya Cotra

    Noam Brown

    Joe Henrich

    Ian Morris

    Hans Moravec

    Mustafa Suleyman

    Doris Taylor

    Andrej Karpathy

    Robert Caro

    Michael Levin

    Eliezer Yudkowsky

    Nick Bostrom

    Zvi Mowshowitz

    David Reich

    Janus @repligate

    Tanner Greer

    Dan Hendrycks

    Liang Wenfeng (CEO of DeepSeek)

    Nate Soares

    Carl Shulman

    Scott Alexander

    Barack Obama

    Xiao Hong (CEO of Manus AI)

    Kamala Harris

    Donald Trump

    Bill Clinton

    84

    50

    50

    45

    41

    41

    41

    37

    37

    37

    36

    34

    34

    34

    34

    34

    34

    33

    31

    31

    31

    30

    29

    28

    26

    26

    26

    26

    24

    24

    24

    24

    24

    24

    24

    24

    24

    24

    22

    22

    22

    20

    20

    18

    18

    18

    18

    18

    17

    17

    17

    15

    12

    10

    9

    9

    8

    OptionProbability

    Micron

    Symbotic

    Velodar / Ouster (OUST)

    SMCI

    Intuitive Surgical

    NVIDIA

    AMD

    ASML

    Tesla

    Mobileye

    TSMC

    Lam Research

    Softbank

    ARM

    Qualcomm

    Meta

    Palantir

    Baidu

    Alibaba

    Intel

    Dell

    Amazon

    Apple

    Google / Alphabet

    Microsoft

    JPMorgan Chase

    Berkshire Hathaway

    Walmart

    38

    28

    27

    26

    26

    24

    24

    24

    23

    22

    21

    21

    20

    17

    17

    17

    17

    17

    16

    15

    14

    14

    12

    11

    10

    10

    9

    7

    OptionProbability

    Appalachian State - Dowell Loggains

    Coastal Carolina - Tim Beck

    Georgia Southern - Clay Helton

    Georgia State - Dell McGee

    James Madison - Bob Chesney

    Marshall - Tony Gibson

    Old Dominion - Ricky Rahne

    Arkansas State - Butch Jones

    Louisiana - Michael Desormeaux

    South Alabama - Major Applewhite

    Southern Miss - Charles Huff

    Texas State - G. J. Kinne

    Louisiana–Monroe - Bryant Vincent

    Troy - Gerad Parker

    40

    39

    39

    39

    39

    39

    39

    39

    39

    39

    39

    39

    35

    32

    OptionProbability

    Veneto

    Sardegna

    Piemonte

    Puglia

    Sicilia

    Straniera (non italiana)

    Lombardia

    Lazio

    Abruzzo

    Marche

    Molise

    Valle d’Aosta

    Trentino-Alto Adige

    Calabria

    Toscana

    Emilia-Romagna

    Friuli-Venezia Giulia

    Umbria

    Liguria

    Campania

    Basilicata

    24

    18

    15

    10

    6

    4

    3

    3

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    293

    46

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    100

    100

    Dell is better Than HP

    Feb 6, 1:42 PM
    00

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