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Delta News

ULA’s Vulcan Delivers First Space Force Mission to Geosynchronous Orbit

ULA’s Vulcan Delivers First Space Force Mission to Geosynchronous Orbit

73

7 days ago

Which specific games from other platforms will be announced for Nintendo Switch 2 before 2028?

May 25, 5:23 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

410856

OptionProbability

Red Dead Redemption 2

Halo: The Master Chief Collection

Call of Duty: Black Ops 7

Assassin's Creed Mirage

Assassin's Creed Shadows

Microsoft Flight Simulator 2024

Crimson Desert

Grand Theft Auto IV

Metal Gear Solid Delta: Snake Eater

Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege

Grand Theft Auto VI

Grand Theft Auto V

Tom Clancy's The Division

93

71

70

69

69

65

64

48

48

43

26

25

24

Which carries humans next? Starliner, Orion, Gaganyaan, or Virgin Galactic Delta?

Sep 7, 5:48 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

121650

OptionProbability

Orion

Starliner

Virgin Galactic Delta

Gaganyaan

[None of the above]

60

22

8

5

5

Which of these protein targets will have at least one new drug targeting them receive FDA approval between 2025 and 2030

Nov 15, 6:57 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

61503

OptionProbability

NaV1.8

Bacterial Topoisomerase type II

L-type calcium-channel

GLP-1R

MEK1/2

TIGIT

KRAS G12D

PCSK9

BTK

CDK4/6

KRAS G12C

TSLP

IL-23

Factor XIa

JAK1

PI3K delta

SYK

TYK2

IL-1R

CD47

BCL-2

SARM1

CDK7

RIPK1

IL-33

CD19

PD-1/PD-L1

HIF-2α

CDK1

100

100

75

74

63

50

50

46

39

39

39

39

39

39

39

39

39

39

39

39

39

39

31

31

31

31

31

31

20

Which will be the next three airlines to operate a supersonic airliner?

Dec 9, 2:03 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

121323

OptionProbability

United Airlines

Japan Airlines

SpaceX Airlines

Alaska Airlines

British Airways

Air France

Hawaiian Airlines

All Nippon Airways

Air China

China Eastern Airlines

Cathay Pacific

Singapore Airlines

KLM Royal Dutch Airlines

China Southern Airlines

American Airlines

Delta Air Lines

52

36

33

29

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

19

18

16

Delta Flight 4819's pilot confirmed to be a woman

Feb 20, 9:00 AMJan 1, 1:00 AM

75.64%chance

41130

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1762

568

When will the first Virgin Galactic Delta ship successfully launch with humans to >80km?

Jul 3, 11:14 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

71023

OptionProbability

2035 or earlier

2030 or earlier

2029 or earlier

2028 or earlier

2027 or earlier

2026 or earlier

24

20

19

18

16

7

Which will be the next airline to operate a supersonic airliner?

Dec 9, 1:59 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

32819

OptionProbability

Other

United Airlines

Aeroflot

Alaska Airlines

Hawaiian Airlines

Air China

Delta

Japan Airlines

Air France

American Airlines

British Airways

Etihad

SpaceX

Emirates

38

10

8

8

7

7

6

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

Will Shinsung Delta Tech lose its LK-99 related gains before 2026?

Mar 28, 2:11 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

38.48%chance

7368

OptionVotes

YES

NO

186

136

Will "My AI Model Delta Compared To Christiano" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Jun 13, 5:39 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

27.56%chance

3338

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1126

482

Will "My AI Model Delta Compared To Yudkowsky" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Jun 10, 7:55 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

49.54%chance

3300

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1286

213

Will "My AI Model Delta Compared To Christiano" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Jun 13, 5:39 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

27.56%chance

2132

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1126

482

Will Scott Alexander endorse a Delta-Opioid-Agonist antidepressant before 2029?

May 9, 7:26 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

58%chance

572

OptionVotes

NO

YES

158

103

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