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Will we (Mega Crit) regret making our next game in Godot?
Oct 10, 8:23 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
5%chance
918539
OptionVotes
3803
763
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky talk like a normal person before 2030?
Sep 24, 1:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
44.04%chance
585879
OptionVotes
1220
562
OptionProbability
100
100
68
55
55
50
45
45
41
37
34
33
31
28
24
21
0
Will a bill to eliminate or defund NPR make it to the President's desk by the end of 2025?
Apr 21, 5:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
78.97%chance
312686
OptionVotes
1615
95
What will today's p(doom) be determined to be retrospectively by post singularity simulations?
Jul 9, 2:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
11.84%chance
5427
OptionVotes
273
37
OptionVotes
129
77
OptionVotes
222
45
Will a fourth manufacturer enter the NASCAR Cup Series before 2030?
Oct 9, 11:08 PMJan 3, 4:59 AM
80.89%chance
3103
OptionVotes
144
34
Will the Yankees, Dodgers or Angels get an official mascot by the end of 2026?
Feb 22, 5:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
23.77%chance
4100
OptionVotes
179
56
Which car manufacturer will be first to create a production car that can achieve 0-60 mph in less than a second
Mar 9, 10:02 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
870
OptionProbability
30
12
10
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
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