Dutch News

2026

Second half of 2025

2027

Before 2025

Democrats 66 (D66)

Christian Democratic Appeal (CDA)

People's Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD)

GroenLinks–PvdA

JA21

Christian Union (CU)

Farmer–Citizen Movement (BBB)

Socialist Party (SP)

Reformed Political Party (SGP)

Volt Netherlands

Party for the Animals (PvdD)

Forum for Democracy (FvD)

Party for Freedom (PVV)

New Social Contract (NSC)

VVD will be among the 3 biggest parties

VVD will be among the 4 biggest parties

PVV will get 29 seats or less

50Plus gets at least 1 seat

D66 will be in Top 3 Biggest Parties

At least 1 party leader resigns

D66 leader becomes Prime Minister

No cabinet before municipal election

Housing will be the biggest topic in the campaigns

CDA and PvdA/GL will both join coalition

CDA and JA21 both join the coalition

PvdA/GL and VVD will both join coalition

Coalition unable to be formed, triggers new election

Coalition is formed before 1st of January 2026

New general elections before getting a cabinet

Henri Bontenbal becomes Prime Minister

VVD or BBB will also leave remaining coalition

PVV leader becomes Prime Minister

Schoof remains Prime Minister in new coalition

PVV will become the biggest party

VVD will pick a new party leader

PvdA/GL will have a new name before election day

VVD will be open for coalition with PVV day after election day

Dutch Elections will be delayed (not 29th of Oct)

Schoof will join a party before election day

Timmermans will be replaced before election day

Migration will be the biggest topic again in the campaigns

CDA will be among the 3 biggest parties

A political candidate will be attack (fysical)

Antifa demonstrates before the election in The Hague

CDA will be among the 2 biggest parties

YES

Defence spending amounts to 2% or more of GDP by the end of the cabinet period.

The national debt remains below 60% of GDP throughout the entire cabinet period.

The maximum speed on one or more highways has been increased to 130 km/h.

The average EMU balance over the cabinet period is 2.8% of GDP or lower.

The standard term for naturalization has been extended to 10 years.

The growth in the number of civil servants and the use of consultants in (core) departments in recent years will be more than reversed.

The independence of the Electoral Council will be strengthened and its mandate expanded to an Electoral Authority.

A statutory regulation will be introduced for independent inspectorates, supervisory bodies, and authorities, including their method of enforcement (law on national inspectorates and authorities).

A constitutional amendment to abolish the ban on constitutional review in Article 120 will be submitted.

A legal maximum has been set for the increase in municipal housing tax (property tax, either in legislation or an agreement with the municipalities).

The healthcare deductible is 165 euros or lower in 2027.

A constitutional amendment to introduce a constitutional court that reviews laws against the Constitution will be submitted.

At least 66% of new housing is affordable for middle-income households.

At least 30% of new housing is social housing.

A bill will be introduced, creating a new electoral system for the House of Representatives

The legal minimum age for prostitution has been raised to 21 years.

Red diesel is again available for farmers, horticulturists, and agricultural contractors.

An average of 100,000 or more homes are built per year during the cabinet period.

New legislation has been implemented that demonstrably tightens asylum policy.

YES

127 to 223 days (march 5 2026 - june 9 2026)

Less than 127 days (oct 29 2025 - march 4 2026)

YES

YES

Jurre Geluk

Loes Haverkort

Kim Pieters

Nathan Rutjes

Merel Westrik

Anne-Marie Jung

Richard Groenendijk

Imanuelle Grives

Sahil Amar Aïssa

Dennis Weening

€1000 - €1500

€750 - €1000

€500 - €750

> €1500

YES