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Prediction markets for East African

Which country will be the next to become an official member state of the United Nations?

Apr 24, 7:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

352257

OptionProbability

Bougainville

Somaliland

Other

Kosovo

Sovereign State of the Bektashi Order

Kurdistan

Palestine

Taiwan

East African Federation

Greenland

Scotland

Catalonia

Holy See / Vatican City

Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic

Transnistria

31

18

10

9

7

6

5

5

5

2

2

1

0

0

0

What will be the next UN Member state?

Jul 2, 12:54 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

301344

OptionProbability

No new members

Bougainville

Somaliland

Palestine

Other

New Caledonia

Sovereign State of the Bektashi Order

Quebec

Kosovo

Scotland

East African Federation

Siberia

Tatarstan

Western Sahara

Catalonia

Puerto Rico

Taiwan

Abkhazia

Northern Cyprus

Wales

Northern Ireland

South Ossetia

Transnistria

Nagorno-Karabakh

Crimea

Basque Country

Russia

Korea

Vatican City

Greenland

34

28

15

8

6

3

2

2

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will the East African Federation be a member of the UN before 2030?

Oct 20, 1:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

5.87%chance

41179

OptionVotes

YES

NO

368

30

When will the East African Community have a single currency?

Dec 3, 4:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

81098

OptionProbability

After 2031 or never

2025-2030

2023-2024

Other

63

18

11

9

Will the United States will have an Asian-American First Lady before they have an Asian-American president?

Sep 28, 8:42 PMJan 7, 7:59 AM

40%chance

16783

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1405

531

Will the East African Federation legally exist by January 1st, 2030?

Jul 1, 4:37 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

19.14%chance

13366

OptionVotes

NO

YES

986

920

Will there be another Arab Spring by 2035?

Dec 26, 5:44 AMJan 1, 2:00 PM

49.68%chance

16262

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1041

941

Will East African Crude Oil Pipeline (EACOP) be in operation until December 31st 2025?

Oct 11, 11:41 AMDec 31, 8:59 PM

28.09%chance

130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

31

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