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Top stories

Modi, Finland’s Stubb Discuss Ukraine and Broader Trade Ties

Modi, Finland’s Stubb Discuss Ukraine and Broader Trade Ties

Authors

5

5 months ago

Prediction markets for East

Will Ukrainian government accept a peace deal that includes the loss of contested lands in the east (Donetsk and/or Lugansk)

May 19, 12:55 PMDec 24, 4:59 AM

73.34%chance

25937075

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1680

551

Before 2029, will any car drive itself, completely unassisted, from a city on the east coast of the USA to the west?

Oct 13, 7:08 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

80.29%chance

553593

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1197

932

In which month will regular Sound Transit East Link light rail service begin between Bellevue and Seattle?

May 22, 6:54 AMJun 22, 6:53 AM

61156

OptionProbability

March 2026

April 2026

May 2026

Other

December 2025

January 2026

February 2026

94

2

1

1

0

0

0

Will Lebanon survive the current conflict in the middle east?

Nov 14, 8:21 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

90.16%chance

221026

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1764

855

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028?

Nov 3, 7:40 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

6.2%chance

14978

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1477

937

UK General Election Next after 2024: Which party will win in Middlesbrough and Thornaby East?

May 11, 10:48 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

7540

OptionProbability

Reform UK

Labour

Conservative

Liberal Democrats

Green

Other

Workers Party

44

32

9

8

4

2

1

Will the East African Federation legally exist by January 1st, 2030?

Jul 1, 4:37 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

18.64%chance

14391

OptionVotes

NO

YES

980

945

When will Ottawa’s O-Train line 1 east expansion (to Trim Station) open for public ridership?

Sep 4, 4:18 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

4386

OptionProbability

H1 2026

H2 2026

2027+

H2 2025

H1 2025

40

40

16

3

1

Will Massachusetts East-West rail be under construction before 2027?

Mar 13, 12:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.74%chance

9275

OptionVotes

YES

NO

511

171

When will a tennis player representing East Asia win a men's singles Grand Slam tournament?

Jan 15, 12:57 AMDec 31, 1:29 PM

5239

OptionProbability

Before 2034

Before 2035

Before 2033

Before 2032

Before 2031

Before 2030

Before 2029

Before 2028

Before 2026

Before 2027

50

50

41

37

34

31

20

10

1

1

2026 National League East Division winner

Dec 14, 1:28 PMSep 27, 10:59 PM

1101

OptionProbability

Philadelphia

Atlanta

New York

Washington

Miami

37

24

24

8

7

Which team wins the American League East division in 2026?

Dec 8, 9:18 PMSep 27, 10:59 PM

370

OptionProbability

Toronto

New York

Boston

Baltimore

Tampa Bay

33

28

20

13

6

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