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Top stories

Modi, Finland’s Stubb Discuss Ukraine and Broader Trade Ties

Modi, Finland’s Stubb Discuss Ukraine and Broader Trade Ties

Authors

5

3 months ago

Prediction markets for East

Will Ukrainian government accept a peace deal that includes the loss of contested lands in the east (Donetsk and/or Lugansk)

May 19, 12:55 PMDec 24, 4:59 AM

69.77%chance

25536410

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1545

604

Will there be an Arab Spring-style wave of political unrest in the Middle East? [2025]

Jul 26, 1:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.96%chance

275407

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4502

453

Before 2029, will any car drive itself, completely unassisted, from a city on the east coast of the USA to the west?

Oct 13, 7:08 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

78.41%chance

543493

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1097

958

When will the East African Community have a single currency?

Dec 3, 4:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

81098

OptionProbability

After 2031 or never

2025-2030

2023-2024

Other

63

18

11

9

Will Lebanon survive the current conflict in the middle east?

Nov 14, 8:21 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

90.33%chance

221023

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1792

852

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028?

Nov 3, 7:40 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

6.2%chance

14978

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1477

937

Who will win the AFC East?

Aug 29, 11:21 AMJan 5, 11:59 PM

9680

OptionProbability

New England Patriots

Buffalo Bills

Miami Dolphins

New York Jets

84

14

1

1

Will the East African Federation legally exist by January 1st, 2030?

Jul 1, 4:37 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

18.64%chance

14391

OptionVotes

NO

YES

980

945

NBA East vs West Regular Season Record

Nov 14, 4:14 AMApr 14, 3:50 AM

5335

OptionProbability

Western Conference

Eastern Conference

75

25

When will a tennis player representing East Asia win a men's singles Grand Slam tournament?

Jan 15, 12:57 AMDec 31, 1:29 PM

5231

OptionProbability

Before 2034

Before 2035

Before 2033

Before 2032

Before 2031

Before 2030

Before 2029

Before 2028

Before 2026

Before 2027

50

50

41

37

34

31

20

10

1

1

Bridge built crossing from Baja California east across the Gulf of California through 2050

Sep 21, 11:56 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

17.85%chance

588

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

75

Will the highest percent of boys interacting with "AI girlfriends/waifus" come from an East Asian country by EOY 2025?

Dec 18, 5:25 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

48.81%chance

220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

92

88

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