East News
Top stories
Prediction markets for East
Will Ukrainian government accept a peace deal that includes the loss of contested lands in the east (Donetsk and/or Lugansk)
May 19, 12:55 PMDec 24, 4:59 AM
68.48%chance
26738505
OptionVotes
1502
624
Before 2029, will any car drive itself, completely unassisted, from a city on the east coast of the USA to the west?
Oct 13, 7:08 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
81.71%chance
573680
OptionVotes
1284
912
OptionProbability
63
18
11
9
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028?
Nov 3, 7:40 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
11.64%chance
171041
OptionVotes
1000
791
Will Lebanon survive the current conflict in the middle east?
Nov 14, 8:21 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM
89.29%chance
221041
OptionVotes
1633
870
Will "Lighthaven East - A Feasibility Study" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Jun 1, 1:47 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
41.5%chance
51029
OptionVotes
1229
282
Who will qualify to the 2027 ICPC NAC? (East Central Division only)
Oct 26, 8:00 PMNov 9, 4:59 AM
12873
OptionProbability
99
95
93
86
84
80
48
34
6
6
4
4
When will Ottawa’s O-Train line 1 east expansion (to Trim Station) open for public ridership?
Sep 4, 4:18 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
6665
OptionProbability
48
48
2
1
1
Will the East African Federation legally exist by January 1st, 2030?
Jul 1, 4:37 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
19.51%chance
15401
OptionVotes
990
902
Will Massachusetts East-West rail be under construction before 2027?
Mar 13, 12:23 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
14.34%chance
10360
OptionVotes
596
155
How far east will In-N-Out have expanded by EOY 2027?
Apr 11, 11:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
17.32%chance
6342
OptionVotes
218
46
OptionProbability
96
4