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Top stories

Ghostrunner Studio One More Level Reveals ‘Valor Mortis’ First-Person Soulslike

Ghostrunner Studio One More Level Reveals ‘Valor Mortis’ First-Person Soulslike

Authors

5

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Eastern Europe

Will GiveWell fund HPV vaccination to prevent cervical cancer by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.26%chance

224741

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5159

2655

Which Country/Area Will the Gen10 Pokemon Games be Based On?

Oct 14, 6:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

183780

OptionProbability

Greece + Mediterranean Islands

The Caribbean

China

The Andes

Italy

Pacific Northwest

Brazil

Australia

Egypt

Mongolia

30

17

9

8

8

8

7

6

5

3

Where will the next Pokémon region be inspired by?

Apr 24, 6:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

101589

OptionProbability

South-East Asia

Southern Europe (Iberian Peninsula, Italy, Balkans, Greece)

Oceania

South Asia

North America

Middle East & Northern Africa

East Asia

Mexico / Central America / Caribbean

Western Europe (France to Poland)

Sub-Saharan Africa

South America

Eastern Europe / Central Asia (Former USSR)

Northern Europe (Nordics and British Isles)

45

36

13

12

11

11

11

10

10

10

9

9

7

Will the American Bullfrog (Aquarana catesbeianus) become extinct in the current century?

Mar 28, 11:28 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

2.18%chance

41155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1654

352

Next Commission president from Eastern Europe?

May 20, 2:16 AMDec 30, 3:04 AM

30.16%chance

5896

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1522

657

If the US buys Greenland and makes it a state, will it vote for a Democrat in the subsequent presidential election?

Dec 6, 8:43 PMNov 19, 9:59 PM

84.21%chance

10467

OptionVotes

NO

YES

231

43

Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in Europe through 2027

Sep 11, 4:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

63.06%chance

8279

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

103

Which regions will become more authoritarian in 2025?

Mar 1, 9:00 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

8236

OptionProbability

North America

Asia and Australasia

Eastern Europe and Central Asia

Sub-Saharan Africa

Western Europe

Latin America and the Caribbean

Middle East and North Africa

95

88

66

66

66

46

39

Poland: Will Daniel Obajtek be jailed by 2030?

Dec 21, 3:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

56%chance

332

OptionVotes

NO

YES

71

68

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