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Eclipse News

    Prediction markets for Eclipse

    Which of these rockets will reach orbit in 2026?

    Feb 3, 3:57 PMDec 31, 3:15 PM
    297539

    OptionProbability

    Falcon Heavy

    Ariane 64

    Proton M

    H3

    Long March 5

    Zhuque 2

    Zhuque 3

    Pallas 1

    Vikram 1

    Kinetica-2

    Long March 10B

    Starship

    Nuri

    Isar Spectrum

    Ceres-2

    Long March 12A

    LVM3

    Tianlong 3

    Chollima 1

    Agnibaan

    Kairos

    Long March 10A

    Epsilon S

    RFA One

    Hyperbola-3

    Miura 5

    GYUB

    Qased

    Terran R

    Eclipse

    Soyuz 5

    Daytona 1

    Stoke Space Nova

    Skyrora XL

    Antares 330

    Rocket Lab Neutron

    Astra Rocket 4

    Gilmour Space Eris

    Orbex Prime

    Nebula-1

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    99

    99

    99

    99

    86

    58

    30

    24

    21

    12

    12

    10

    9

    8

    8

    8

    6

    4

    4

    4

    3

    2

    2

    2

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    Will the sky be clear in Sydney during the 2028 total solar eclipse?

    Mar 8, 3:07 AMJul 22, 11:59 PM
    58.13%chance
    187433

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    11782

    8487

    OptionProbability

    trump dies

    Bitcoin reaches 180K usd or more

    human steps on moon again

    grok 6 release date

    tropico 7 releases

    fable (2026) releases

    Ark Survival Evolved 2 releases

    Saw XI Releases in USA

    Bitcoin reaches 150K usd or more

    stripe ipo happens

    polymarket or kalshi ipo

    Bitcoin reaches 130K usd or more

    biden dies

    trump is impeached by either house OR senate

    windows 12 announcement is made

    Netanyahu out as PM of israel

    Bitcoin reaches 125K usd or more

    trump bombs / invades / attacks mexican territory

    Earthquake magnitude 8.5 or higher somewhere in the world

    putin or zelensky lose power

    Tom Scott's 'this video' reaches 80M views on Youtube

    polymarket or kalshi release a credit/debit card

    discord IPO happens

    israel opens an embassy in syria, OR announces it will

    haunted chocolatier release date known

    Earthquake magnitude 8.0 or higher somewhere in the world

    Prong.Studio releases a 3rd product (not an accessory or part for an existing one)

    Legally Blonde 3 release date announced

    GenoSamuel releases Chris Chan History #86

    new Doctor Who showrunner announced (after RTD departure)

    playstation 6 announced

    new super smash bros game announced (NOT A REMAKE)

    llama 5 release date

    yoko ono passes away

    apple announces a smart ring

    grok 5 release date

    noam chomsky passes away

    fourth Knives Out movie announced

    twitter/x releases x mail to some users

    onepieceexplained reaches 15k subs on youtube

    playboi carti releases an album

    openai loses another board member, or sam altman no longer ceo

    the second Atlantic hurricane of the season

    Hades 3 announced (game)

    Ukraine and Russia announce any ceasefire

    coup in an african country

    manifold raises more money

    Third dune movie officially announced

    Israel and Hamas announce another temporary ceasefire OR permanent ceasefire OR conflict otherwise ends

    EOD Boxing Day - Dec 26

    anthropic stock able to be bought on nyse

    Third dune movie releases

    Cy Young award winner announced

    EOD Thanksgiving - Nov 27

    EOD Halloween - Oct 31

    Last game of the MLB World Series ends

    apple announces a touchscreen laptop

    First game of the MLB World Series starts

    EOD Lief Erikson Day - Oct 9

    nobel peace prize winner announced

    the first Atlantic hurricane of the season

    commercial airline hijacked

    iphone fold release date known

    beyonce releases an album

    Chat GPT 6 releases to the general userbase

    Twitter releases a Peer to Peer payment system to free or premium users

    Spacex launches 100th rocket in one year

    the first Solar eclipse of the year

    Patriot Games ending day

    Patriot Games starting day

    someone reaches 100k traders on the creator leaderboard

    the second Pacific hurricane of the season

    the first Pacific hurricane of the season

    fifa world cup - last game ends

    EOD Fourth of July - Jul 4

    Taylor swift gets married

    ozempic/wegovy/glp-1 pill approved by the fda

    English Wikipedia reaches 7.2M ARTICLES or more

    Spacex launches 75th rocket of the year

    marijuana rescheduled as a drug in the USA

    the start of Amazon Prime Day(s)

    Kier Starmer out

    alan greenspan passes away

    Manifest 2026 starts

    spacex IPO happens

    drake releases an album

    EOD Cinco De Mayo - May 5

    another trump assassination attempt

    Spacex launches 50th rocket of the year

    Last day of the NFL draft

    undersea cables reported cut around taiwan

    Imu face reveal in One Piece manga

    artemis II mission launches

    EOD Ides of March - Mar 15

    new iphone releases (in the USA)

    trump removes a cabinet member

    First Apple Event of the year

    the first Lunar eclipse of the year

    Spacex launches 25th rocket of the year

    manifold launches real money trading

    EOD Fat Tuesday/Mardi Gras

    nioh 3 releases in the usa (game)

    First Nintendo direct of the year

    doomsday clock announcement made

    98

    98

    98

    97

    97

    97

    97

    97

    97

    96

    95

    95

    95

    94

    93

    89

    87

    86

    85

    85

    83

    83

    81

    78

    77

    77

    77

    76

    76

    76

    75

    75

    72

    72

    72

    70

    70

    70

    66

    66

    66

    65

    65

    62

    61

    61

    59

    59

    57

    54

    52

    51

    50

    49

    47

    46

    45

    44

    42

    41

    40

    39

    38

    38

    37

    36

    36

    35

    34

    33

    32

    31

    30

    29

    28

    27

    27

    26

    25

    25

    24

    23

    22

    21

    20

    19

    18

    17

    16

    15

    14

    13

    12

    11

    10

    9

    8

    7

    6

    5

    4

    3

    2

    1

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2330

    569

    OptionProbability

    Jon Favreau's The Mandalorian and Grogu

    Darth Maul show

    Visions season 3

    The Ninth Jedi anime series

    Zero Company (strategy game by Respawn)

    Shawn Levy's Starfighter

    Ahsoka season 2

    KOTOR remake by Aspyr

    At least one movie written by Simon Kinberg

    Eclipse (action adventure game by Quantic Dream)

    Amy Hennig's game

    Jedi 3 (sequel to Fallen Order and Survivor)

    James Mangold's Dawn of the Jedi

    Donald Glover's Lando movie

    Patty Jenkins' Rogue Squadron

    A Droid Story animated series

    A movie directed by Taika Waititi

    A movie directed by Rian Johnson

    New Jedi Order movie (with Rey as main character)

    100

    100

    100

    100

    100

    92

    92

    55

    50

    50

    50

    50

    45

    45

    45

    41

    38

    36

    35

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    239

    42

    What is the best text editor ?

    Jul 7, 7:42 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
    221134

    OptionProbability

    emacs

    vim

    ed

    Other

    VS Code

    the rename button

    notepad++

    Visual Studio

    Mivrosoft Word

    NotePad

    Microsoft Word

    IntelliJ

    Word Pad

    Notepadqq

    nano

    atom

    Sublime Text

    chatGPT

    Eclipse

    Google Docs

    Write on paper and use image to text

    33

    24

    16

    16

    6

    3

    1

    1

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    What year will Elysian Eclipse be released in?

    Dec 15, 11:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    6752

    OptionProbability

    2027

    Other

    2026

    2028

    2024

    2025

    27

    27

    25

    18

    1

    1

    OptionProbability

    Intel will stop the arc branding and never announce a name

    Other

    Evoker

    Explore

    Eclipse

    Erudite

    Intel will skip E and go to F

    Expert

    25

    18

    15

    9

    9

    8

    8

    7

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1004

    990

    Masterpiece paintings stock

    Jul 9, 1:08 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
    4157

    OptionProbability

    Impression, Sunrise (Claude Monet 1872)

    Eclipse of the Sun (George Grosz, 1926)

    Other

    Mona Lisa (Leonardo da Vinci, c. 1503–1506)

    Starry Night (Vincent van Gogh, 1889)

    The Scream (Edvard Munch, 1893)

    The Creation of Adam (Michelangelo, 1511–1512)

    The Great Wave off Kanagawa (Katsushika Hokusai, 1831)

    The Persistence of Memory (Salvador Dalí, 1931)

    The Kiss (Gustav Klimt, 1907–1908)

    Guernica (Pablo Picasso, 1937)

    Reddit r/place canvas (Reddit users, 2017)

    The Night Watch (Rembrandt van Rijn, 1642)

    10

    10

    10

    9

    9

    9

    9

    9

    7

    6

    5

    5

    3

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    100

    100

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