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Prediction markets for Edu
Will the US eliminate the Department of Education through law or presidential reorganization before 2026?
Jan 23, 12:35 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
2%chance
58117593
OptionVotes
83919
4213
Will we have an AGI as smart as a "generally educated human" by the end of 2025?
Aug 7, 9:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
6.66%chance
28075919
OptionVotes
3308
813
Treasury shuts off Congressionally authorized payments to Department of Education by December 31, 2025
Feb 4, 4:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
13.15%chance
3235132
OptionVotes
25336
2901
Will the US Department of Education cease to exist during the Trump administration?
Nov 11, 11:36 PMFeb 21, 4:59 AM
19.09%chance
7621508
OptionVotes
1566
92
If elected, will Donald Trump dismantle the department of education as promised?
Jun 26, 4:34 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
68.1%chance
497537
OptionVotes
1461
684
OptionVotes
2949
339
Will ChatBots become an indispensable tool for most children's K-12 grade education in the United States before the end of the decade (<2030)?
Jan 3, 2:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
50%chance
433878
OptionVotes
1160
731
Will GiveWell fund Educate! Experience program by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
19.92%chance
92626
OptionVotes
4193
4124
There will be no restrictions on Chinese citizens ability to access education or healthcare in any city with more than 10 million people based on rural Hukou by the end of 2025
Sep 8, 12:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.84%chance
161318
OptionVotes
1868
771
Will evolutionary psychology be adopted into mainstream psychology education by 2050?
Apr 8, 9:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM
77.03%chance
19567
OptionVotes
1413
831
Will the cost of higher education in the US maintain an average growth rate above 3% until 2040?
Apr 16, 9:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
40.88%chance
13540
OptionVotes
1338
666
Will the next leader of Russia after Putin have gotten a western education [in US or Europe (EU)]?
Oct 25, 7:40 PMNov 2, 6:59 AM
31.41%chance
16398
OptionVotes
1021
930
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