Election News
Prediction markets for Election
OptionProbability
26
17
9
7
5
4
3
3
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
27
22
9
5
4
4
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
82
9
4
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Jul 18, 4:24 PMNov 8, 5:59 AM
27.02%chance
223346268
OptionVotes
136861
82265
OptionProbability
26
24
9
6
4
4
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Balance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?
Sep 19, 12:51 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
149198906
OptionProbability
59
20
19
2
0
0
0
0
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
Mar 10, 5:16 AMNov 4, 4:59 AM
50%chance
428156087
OptionVotes
8797
3953
Who will be the next person to win an election to US House District 11, other than Nancy Pelosi?
Jun 4, 5:21 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
69101750
OptionProbability
64
20
14
1
1
1
Will JD Vance be nominated for President for the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Jul 18, 5:32 PMJul 2, 4:59 AM
52.2%chance
11846361
OptionVotes
10906
9055
Will the 2028 US Presidential election happen normally?
Nov 5, 11:09 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM
67.61%chance
105910
OptionVotes
14293
7078
Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi?
Jan 22, 8:06 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
60.55%chance
223853
OptionVotes
12830
7603
Will there be any significant legislation or executive orders cancelling vote-by-mail in the 2026 federal elections?
Feb 21, 2:05 AMJan 4, 7:59 AM
44.45%chance
141602
OptionVotes
10441
9624