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Top stories

Sequoia Leads $32 Million Series B for Collaborative Code Editor Zed

Sequoia Leads $32 Million Series B for Collaborative Code Editor Zed

Authors

5

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Electron

Will GiveWell fund Electronic partogram by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.5%chance

1812354

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9625

2195

Storage devices with neural networks pre-loaded sold in major electronics retailers by end of 2035

Jan 5, 5:22 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

29.98%chance

207285

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15274

6551

Will Rocket Lab successfully reuse an Electron Booster by EOY 2025?

Apr 4, 3:05 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

1%chance

195209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5929

31

When will rocket lab first attempt to re-fly an Electron booster? #Recovery-and-reuse

Apr 10, 2:16 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

55006

OptionProbability

Before December 2027

Before December 2026

Before June 2026

Before January 2026

Before July 2024

Before October 2024

Before January 2025

Before July 2025

Before April 2025

Before October 2025

58

41

28

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

Is the electron a point particle?

Mar 17, 7:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

87.83%chance

172791

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1221

918

Will All ATP Tour level matches use Electronic line calling by the end of 2028

Mar 6, 12:27 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.56%chance

81700

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1319

319

Will a novel computing medium enter consumer electronics by EYO 2030?

Dec 16, 7:15 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

47.13%chance

24760

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1036

960

Will charged lepton flavor violation via muon to electron conversion be observed by 2030?

Mar 14, 3:40 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.98%chance

11284

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1086

947

Conditional on a large-scale nuclear exchange involving the continental United States, will my house be hit with an EMP severe enough to damage any of our electronics?

Oct 6, 5:35 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

35.26%chance

997

OptionVotes

YES

NO

262

190

Will demand for Rhodium from the Electrical & Electronics industry be ≥ ~2500 ozt in 2025?

Sep 18, 12:04 PMDec 25, 1:04 PM

67.46%chance

344

OptionVotes

NO

YES

144

69

Will demand for Rhodium from the Electrical & Electronics industry be ≥ ~2500 ozt in 2026?

Sep 18, 12:04 PMFeb 16, 1:04 PM

67.16%chance

243

OptionVotes

NO

YES

143

70

Electronic Arts Stock

Apr 12, 12:33 AMApr 12, 5:59 AM

110

OptionProbability

NO

YES

70

70

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Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
VC
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AI Products
Sequoia Leads $32 Million Series B for Collaborative Code Editor Zed
Authors
5
4 months ago

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