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Prediction markets for Elimination Game
OptionProbability
50
22
9
9
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
20
20
15
9
8
7
6
6
6
5
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
74
58
47
44
41
37
36
35
30
22
18
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
72
40
37
36
22
17
12
11
10
9
4
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
31
14
12
11
10
9
6
4
3
OptionVotes
1233
937
Will Lorxus, the author of this market, be a winner of Tontine?
Mar 25, 4:06 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
46%chance
261549
OptionVotes
1345
307
During which year will the Tontine surviving player count reach 100?
Aug 31, 5:10 PMJan 2, 5:05 AM
5639
OptionProbability
64
19
7
5
4
OptionProbability
64
16
16
2
1
1
0
Manifold Scouts: NFL Head Coach Survival Pool (2024-25 Offseason Hires)
Mar 11, 7:29 PMApr 2, 3:59 AM
4529
OptionProbability
32
16
12
12
11
11
7
Will the Tontine surviving player count be 100 or less as of 2026-1-1?
Dec 2, 10:50 PMJan 1, 5:10 AM
3.43%chance
3449
OptionVotes
531
19
Will the Tontine surviving player count be 142 (1/50) or less as of 2026-1-1?
Apr 25, 1:24 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
78.86%chance
6250
OptionVotes
193
52
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