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Top stories

Southern Brave Go Unbeaten With Eight Wins as Trent Rockets, Northern Superchargers, and Oval Invincibles Secure Men’s Hundred Playoff Spots

Southern Brave Go Unbeaten With Eight Wins as Trent Rockets, Northern Superchargers, and Oval Invincibles Secure Men’s Hundred Playoff Spots

Authors

3

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Eliminator

Will the US eliminate the Department of Education through law or presidential reorganization before 2026?

Jan 23, 12:35 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

2%chance

58117593

OptionVotes

YES

NO

83919

4213

If Trump or other Republican wins in 2024, how many cabinet level departments will be eliminated before the end of 2028?

Jun 18, 12:20 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

143600

OptionProbability

0

1

2

3

More than 3

52

28

8

7

4

Will scaling current methods be enough to eliminate LLM hallucination?

Feb 27, 11:31 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

15.34%chance

533171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1805

749

Will a bill to eliminate or defund NPR make it to the President's desk by the end of 2025?

Apr 21, 5:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.97%chance

312686

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1615

95

Will at least one U.S. state eliminate or significantly restrict no-fault divorce by December 31, 2025?

Sep 17, 6:08 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

10.08%chance

132441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2987

335

Iran’s 60%+ enriched uranium stockpile and its capability to produce more both eliminated by June 2025 strikes?

Jun 22, 11:06 PMJan 1, 12:59 AM

8%chance

91938

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2500

62

Will the H-1B country caps be raised or eliminated in 2025?

Mar 5, 4:45 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.47%chance

111697

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2534

395

The Republicans will be the party to eliminate the Filibuster

Apr 4, 2:07 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

61.04%chance

21810

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1042

959

Will the "Stepped Up Basis" rule be eliminated in the US federal tax code before 2035?

Aug 28, 8:27 PMSep 5, 3:59 AM

31.16%chance

2500

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1486

673

Will systemic poverty be eliminated before 2050?

Nov 15, 10:31 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

26.94%chance

22473

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1047

971

Will Congress pass a bill eliminating or increasing per-country caps on employment-based green cards by December 31 2026

Jan 30, 6:42 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

37.29%chance

4302

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1297

771

Will a team that goes 2-2 in group advance to the single elimination round of the NBA In-Season Tournament by 2028?

Dec 2, 2:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Yes

No

50

50

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