European security News

Hillary Clinton Would Nominate Trump for Nobel Peace Prize If He Ends Russia-Ukraine War Without Ukraine Ceding Territory

10 months ago

Will Fable be reenabled for Europeans before Americans?

Jun 18, 8:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.29%chance

1311190

OptionVotes

YES

8735

114

Will Ukraine cede land to russia?

Dec 19, 4:47 AMDec 31, 5:02 AM

27.56%chance

312862

OptionVotes

YES

162

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Jul 14, 12:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.17%chance

112322

OptionVotes

YES

1724

580

When will the Finnish citizens’ initiative on Digital Independence reach 50,000 signatures?

Feb 22, 6:24 AMDec 31, 9:59 PM

81444

OptionProbability

Before Sep 2026

Before Aug 2026

Before Jul 2026

Before May 2026

Before Jun 2026

Before Apr 2026

Before Mar 2026

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Jun 3, 9:34 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

43.68%chance

281402

OptionVotes

YES

1162

901

🇺🇸💥🇪🇺 Will there be a war between the United States and an EU country or European Union as a whole by end of 2028?

Apr 6, 11:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.07%chance

61130

OptionVotes

YES

115

By the end of 2027: Germany will be actively engaged in war or there will be acts of war on German Territory.

Apr 4, 9:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.55%chance

12705

OptionVotes

YES

405

173

Will the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair?

Apr 18, 8:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.7%chance

15616

OptionVotes

YES

1403

713

NATO dissolves by 2028

Jan 6, 4:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.56%chance

8221

OptionVotes

YES

104

Will Protestant and English-speaking countries become even more individualistic in the next World Values Survey?

Sep 25, 8:23 PMMar 1, 7:59 AM

79.01%chance

11213

OptionVotes

YES

1118

952

Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?

Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

48.12%chance

4157

OptionVotes

YES

1091

1011

Will Chancellor Merz announce a German defense spending increase to 3.0% of GDP by the end of 2026?

Feb 9, 3:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.85%chance

7141

OptionVotes

YES

146

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Aug 16, 2025
Aug 16, 2025
War
US Foreign Policy
Politics
Hillary Clinton Would Nominate Trump for Nobel Peace Prize If He Ends Russia-Ukraine War Without Ukraine Ceding Territory
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10 months ago

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European security News

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Prediction markets for European security

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Will Fable be reenabled for Europeans before Americans?

Will Ukraine cede land to russia?

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

When will the Finnish citizens’ initiative on Digital Independence reach 50,000 signatures?

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

🇺🇸💥🇪🇺 Will there be a war between the United States and an EU country or European Union as a whole by end of 2028?

By the end of 2027: Germany will be actively engaged in war or there will be acts of war on German Territory.

Will the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair?

NATO dissolves by 2028

Will Protestant and English-speaking countries become even more individualistic in the next World Values Survey?

Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?

Will Chancellor Merz announce a German defense spending increase to 3.0% of GDP by the end of 2026?

Latest stories

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