European security News

Hillary Clinton Would Nominate Trump for Nobel Peace Prize If He Ends Russia-Ukraine War Without Ukraine Ceding Territory

1 year ago

If Russia doesn’t agree to the ceasefire, will America provide more assistance to Ukraines war efforts within 90 days?

Mar 12, 8:49 PMJun 20, 7:59 PM

43%chance

664051

OptionVotes

YES

129

Will Ukraine cede land to russia?

Dec 19, 4:47 AMDec 31, 5:02 AM

50.97%chance

413085

OptionVotes

YES

102

Will Donald Trump carry out an invasion of Greenland before 2029?

Feb 27, 6:35 PMJan 4, 11:59 PM

6.44%chance

192669

OptionVotes

YES

381

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Jul 14, 12:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.11%chance

112422

OptionVotes

YES

1824

548

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Jun 3, 9:34 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

46.35%chance

291467

OptionVotes

YES

1101

951

By the end of 2027: Germany will be actively engaged in war or there will be acts of war on German Territory.

Apr 4, 9:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8%chance

13832

OptionVotes

YES

385

175

Will the UK introduce compulsory English lessons for adult migrants receiving public benefits before 2027?

Jul 21, 10:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.73%chance

12716

OptionVotes

YES

262

Will the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair?

Apr 18, 8:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.03%chance

15627

OptionVotes

YES

1392

718

When will Volodymyr Zelenskyy announce national elections?

Mar 2, 1:04 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

8247

OptionProbability

Announces elections contingent on ceasefire only

July 1 - December 31, 2026

January 1 - June 30, 2027

July 1, 2027 or later

Other

Never announces national elections

March 15 - April 15, 2026

April 15 - May 4, 2026 (before martial law expires)

May 4 - June 30, 2026

Before March 15, 2026

Will Protestant and English-speaking countries become even more individualistic in the next World Values Survey?

Sep 25, 8:23 PMMar 1, 7:59 AM

79.01%chance

11213

OptionVotes

YES

1118

952

Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?

Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

48.12%chance

4157

OptionVotes

YES

1091

1011

Will Loreen win the Melodifestivalen 2027 selection?

Aug 9, 9:00 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

60.65%chance

3135

OptionVotes

YES

124

Latest stories

Aug 16, 2025
Aug 16, 2025
War
US Foreign Policy
Politics
Hillary Clinton Would Nominate Trump for Nobel Peace Prize If He Ends Russia-Ukraine War Without Ukraine Ceding Territory
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1 year ago

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If Russia doesn’t agree to the ceasefire, will America provide more assistance to Ukraines war efforts within 90 days?

Will Ukraine cede land to russia?

Will Donald Trump carry out an invasion of Greenland before 2029?

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

By the end of 2027: Germany will be actively engaged in war or there will be acts of war on German Territory.

Will the UK introduce compulsory English lessons for adult migrants receiving public benefits before 2027?

Will the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair?

When will Volodymyr Zelenskyy announce national elections?

Will Protestant and English-speaking countries become even more individualistic in the next World Values Survey?

Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?

Will Loreen win the Melodifestivalen 2027 selection?

Latest stories

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