European security News

Hillary Clinton Would Nominate Trump for Nobel Peace Prize If He Ends Russia-Ukraine War Without Ukraine Ceding Territory

1 year ago

If Russia doesn’t agree to the ceasefire, will America provide more assistance to Ukraines war efforts within 90 days?

Mar 12, 8:49 PMJun 20, 7:59 PM

43%chance

664051

OptionVotes

YES

129

Will Donald Trump carry out an invasion of Greenland before 2029?

Feb 27, 6:35 PMJan 4, 11:59 PM

16.74%chance

162498

OptionVotes

YES

223

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Jul 14, 12:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.17%chance

112322

OptionVotes

YES

1724

580

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Jun 3, 9:34 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

43.68%chance

281402

OptionVotes

YES

1162

901

Will russia attack and/or occupy european NATO area until EOY2029? And if so, where will that happen first?

May 23, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12884

OptionProbability

Not on NATO area/Not at all

Estonia

Lithuania

Other

Latvia

Finland

Alaska

Will the UK introduce compulsory English lessons for adult migrants receiving public benefits before 2027?

Jul 21, 10:14 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.73%chance

12716

OptionVotes

YES

262

Will the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair?

Apr 18, 8:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.7%chance

15616

OptionVotes

YES

1403

713

Will Protestant and English-speaking countries become even more individualistic in the next World Values Survey?

Sep 25, 8:23 PMMar 1, 7:59 AM

79.01%chance

11213

OptionVotes

YES

1118

952

Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?

Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

48.12%chance

4157

OptionVotes

YES

1091

1011

When will Volodymyr Zelenskyy announce national elections?

Mar 2, 1:04 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

6151

OptionProbability

Announces elections contingent on ceasefire only

April 15 - May 4, 2026 (before martial law expires)

May 4 - June 30, 2026

July 1 - December 31, 2026

January 1 - June 30, 2027

July 1, 2027 or later

Never announces national elections

Other

March 15 - April 15, 2026

Before March 15, 2026

Will Chancellor Merz announce a German defense spending increase to 3.0% of GDP by the end of 2026?

Feb 9, 3:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.85%chance

7141

OptionVotes

YES

146

Robinhood fined for OpenAI token sale before 2028?

Jul 3, 9:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.97%chance

459

OptionVotes

YES

108

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Aug 16, 2025
Aug 16, 2025
War
US Foreign Policy
Politics
Hillary Clinton Would Nominate Trump for Nobel Peace Prize If He Ends Russia-Ukraine War Without Ukraine Ceding Territory
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1 year ago

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If Russia doesn’t agree to the ceasefire, will America provide more assistance to Ukraines war efforts within 90 days?

Will Donald Trump carry out an invasion of Greenland before 2029?

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Will russia attack and/or occupy european NATO area until EOY2029? And if so, where will that happen first?

Will the UK introduce compulsory English lessons for adult migrants receiving public benefits before 2027?

Will the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair?

Will Protestant and English-speaking countries become even more individualistic in the next World Values Survey?

Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?

When will Volodymyr Zelenskyy announce national elections?

Will Chancellor Merz announce a German defense spending increase to 3.0% of GDP by the end of 2026?

Robinhood fined for OpenAI token sale before 2028?

Latest stories

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