Expectations News

US Consumer Confidence Dips to 97.4 but Tops Forecasts

10 months ago

How will scientific consensus in 2050 apportion the causes of increased life expectancy from 1000AD to 2000AD in Europe?

Jun 27, 4:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

41130717

OptionProbability

increased sanitation / hygiene / clean air+water

all other cuases

vaccines and antibiotics

medical ex-vaccines/antibiotics

improved diet

reduced war / homicide / execution / child abandonment

Does Martingale betting have zero expected value even with unlimited funds? (note caveats)

Nov 12, 8:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.86%chance

4852701

OptionVotes

YES

2766

372

Will US life expectancy recover from its 2020-2021 "Covid" drop to exceed its 2019 level by 2029?

Oct 24, 3:48 AMDec 31, 2:59 PM

80.27%chance

4726263

OptionVotes

YES

3926

1996

Will US life expectancy in 2050 be 100 or above?

Oct 31, 5:55 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

32%chance

6913319

OptionVotes

YES

1007

980

Smoking less deadly: will the life expectancy penalty for smokers decrease by 2030?

Sep 1, 5:33 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

25.07%chance

2510208

OptionVotes

YES

1730

579

Will US life expectancy in 2050 be 85 or above?

Oct 31, 5:52 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

75.7%chance

401702

OptionVotes

YES

986

951

Will life expectancy in any state of the US reach 85 years before end of 2035?

Apr 29, 5:27 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

36.06%chance

17736

OptionVotes

YES

1332

751

Will Bryan Johnson die with age 10+ years greater than the life expectancy for the time of his death?

Jan 13, 4:57 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

55.79%chance

9580

OptionVotes

YES

1123

890

Will life expectancy in any province of Spain reach 90 years before end of 2040?

Feb 22, 9:43 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM

36.77%chance

7575

OptionVotes

YES

1311

763

Will worldwide life expectancy reach 75 years before 2030?

Mar 22, 12:47 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

49.74%chance

22512

OptionVotes

YES

1086

889

Will life expectancy in any Italian province achieve 90 years before end of 2040?

Mar 6, 10:33 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM

56.82%chance

5205

OptionVotes

YES

1147

872

Will life expectancy in any prefectures of Japan reach 90 years before end of 2040?

May 30, 12:31 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

54.5%chance

3105

OptionVotes

YES

1095

914

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Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
Economics
Business
US Consumer Confidence Dips to 97.4 but Tops Forecasts
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10 months ago

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How will scientific consensus in 2050 apportion the causes of increased life expectancy from 1000AD to 2000AD in Europe?

Does Martingale betting have zero expected value even with unlimited funds? (note caveats)

Will US life expectancy recover from its 2020-2021 "Covid" drop to exceed its 2019 level by 2029?

Will US life expectancy in 2050 be 100 or above?

Smoking less deadly: will the life expectancy penalty for smokers decrease by 2030?

Will US life expectancy in 2050 be 85 or above?

Will life expectancy in any state of the US reach 85 years before end of 2035?

Will Bryan Johnson die with age 10+ years greater than the life expectancy for the time of his death?

Will life expectancy in any province of Spain reach 90 years before end of 2040?

Will worldwide life expectancy reach 75 years before 2030?

Will life expectancy in any Italian province achieve 90 years before end of 2040?

Will life expectancy in any prefectures of Japan reach 90 years before end of 2040?

Latest stories

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