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Top stories

Osaka Police Search Iroha Kensetsu Over 120 Million Yen Unpermitted Angola Pavilion Work, 100 Million Yen Unpaid Fees at 2025 Expo

Osaka Police Search Iroha Kensetsu Over 120 Million Yen Unpermitted Angola Pavilion Work, 100 Million Yen Unpaid Fees at 2025 Expo

Authors

7

6 months ago

Power Outage on Osaka Metro Chuo Line Near Cosmosquare Strands 30,000 on Yumeshima Island at 2025 Osaka Expo, 36 Hospitalized

Power Outage on Osaka Metro Chuo Line Near Cosmosquare Strands 30,000 on Yumeshima Island at 2025 Osaka Expo, 36 Hospitalized

Authors

11

6 months ago

Prediction markets for Expo

Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?

Dec 26, 5:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.01%chance

85507

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15284

6552

REE export licenses lapse without renewal by Mar 31, 2026?

Sep 15, 3:37 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

11.87%chance

61870

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2729

368

Will Usain Bolt be exposed as a drugs cheat by 2050?

Jun 1, 3:21 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.59%chance

201150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1662

602

Will a cyber attack by a top 10 GDP nation exposing mass private civilian data occur before 2028?

Mar 15, 4:51 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

77.38%chance

231145

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1801

590

Which of 1password or Bitwarden will have user secrets exposed in a security breach first?

Feb 29, 1:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32930

OptionProbability

1password

Bitwarden

57

43

Is the Strong Exponential Time Hypothesis true?

Feb 13, 5:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53%chance

17701

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1004

989

Before 2050, will any human pass out from exposure to vacuum in space and then survive?

Mar 1, 12:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.43%chance

14581

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1010

983

US export restrictions lead to reported large-scale AI chip theft by end of 2026

Jan 16, 8:15 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

52.72%chance

6541

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1056

947

Will the US implement software export controls for frontier AI models by 2028?

Apr 28, 12:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

76.8%chance

23513

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1290

868

Will China still be the world's leading exporter (in USD) by the end of 2028?

Oct 21, 4:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

63.74%chance

15471

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1009

965

Will Unreal Engine gain official WebGPU export support before Jan 1st 2027?

Jul 2, 7:12 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

65.99%chance

10362

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1058

954

Which country will be the first confirmed export customer of the Russian Su-57 Felon fifth-generation fighter jet?

Nov 20, 7:21 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

5285

OptionProbability

Algeria

Iran

India

Other

None before 2030

North Korea

China

Indonesia

Belarus

Vietnam

Turkey

Egypt

87

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

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