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Prediction markets for Expo
Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?
Dec 26, 5:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
35.27%chance
217018
OptionVotes
13559
7386
Will more US AI models be subject to US export control directives by the end of 2026?
Jun 15, 2:03 PMJan 1, 11:00 AM
35.57%chance
335843
OptionVotes
1346
743
Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026?
Mar 2, 6:09 PMSep 29, 6:08 PM
62.64%chance
32803
OptionVotes
1295
772
Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on August 29, 2026?
Mar 2, 6:09 PMAug 29, 6:08 PM
62.83%chance
22800
OptionVotes
1300
769
Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to Zimbabwe export ban exceed 15 kt on September 29, 2026?
Mar 2, 6:10 PMSep 29, 6:08 PM
60.98%chance
22750
OptionVotes
1250
800
Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to Zimbabwe export ban exceed 15 kt on August 29, 2026?
Mar 2, 6:08 PMAug 29, 6:08 PM
60.98%chance
22750
OptionVotes
1250
800
Which of 1password or Bitwarden will have user secrets exposed in a security breach first?
Feb 29, 1:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
321030
OptionProbability
57
43
Will Unreal Engine gain official WebGPU export support before Jan 1st 2027?
Jul 2, 7:12 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM
51.71%chance
15924
OptionVotes
1184
725
OptionVotes
1004
989
US export restrictions lead to reported large-scale AI chip theft by end of 2026
Jan 16, 8:15 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM
52.72%chance
6541
OptionVotes
1056
947
Will China still be the world's leading exporter (in USD) by the end of 2028?
Oct 21, 4:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
63.74%chance
15471
OptionVotes
1009
965
Will I be able to obtain an official 2026 Miku Expo Europe penlight?
May 16, 4:14 PMNov 11, 11:59 PM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100