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Top stories

Osaka Police Search Iroha Kensetsu Over 120 Million Yen Unpermitted Angola Pavilion Work, 100 Million Yen Unpaid Fees at 2025 Expo

Osaka Police Search Iroha Kensetsu Over 120 Million Yen Unpermitted Angola Pavilion Work, 100 Million Yen Unpaid Fees at 2025 Expo

Authors

7

1 year ago

Power Outage on Osaka Metro Chuo Line Near Cosmosquare Strands 30,000 on Yumeshima Island at 2025 Osaka Expo, 36 Hospitalized

Power Outage on Osaka Metro Chuo Line Near Cosmosquare Strands 30,000 on Yumeshima Island at 2025 Osaka Expo, 36 Hospitalized

Authors

11

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Expo

Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to the Zimbabwe export ban exceed 10 kt on September 29, 2026?

Mar 2, 6:09 PMSep 29, 6:08 PM

22.74%chance

78605

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1843

543

Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?

Dec 26, 5:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.51%chance

257828

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12918

7753

Will the reduction in global lithium supply due to Zimbabwe export ban exceed 15 kt on September 29, 2026?

Mar 2, 6:10 PMSep 29, 6:08 PM

20%chance

67528

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2000

500

Which of 1password or Bitwarden will have user secrets exposed in a security breach first?

Feb 29, 1:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

321030

OptionProbability

1password

Bitwarden

57

43

Will Unreal Engine gain official WebGPU export support before Jan 1st 2027?

Jul 2, 7:12 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

51.71%chance

16926

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1184

725

Is the Strong Exponential Time Hypothesis true?

Feb 13, 5:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

53%chance

17701

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1004

989

US export restrictions lead to reported large-scale AI chip theft by end of 2026

Jan 16, 8:15 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

49.45%chance

6605

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1011

989

Will the US implement software export controls for frontier AI models by 2028?

Apr 28, 12:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

78.31%chance

25593

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1370

845

Before 2050, will any human pass out from exposure to vacuum in space and then survive?

Mar 1, 12:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

34.43%chance

14581

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1010

983

Will China still be the world's leading exporter (in USD) by the end of 2028?

Oct 21, 4:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

63.74%chance

15471

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1009

965

Which anime convention will the Hololive English 5th concert align with?

Aug 6, 6:06 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

11

OptionProbability

Anime Expo

Anime NYC

50

50

Will I be able to obtain an official 2026 Miku Expo Europe penlight?

May 16, 4:14 PMNov 11, 11:59 PM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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