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Prediction markets for FE
Will Jerome Powell cease to hold the office of Chair of the Federal Reserve before 2026?
Jan 22, 11:16 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
11.47%chance
282632184
OptionVotes
25589
5889
Balance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?
Sep 19, 12:51 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
149199176
OptionProbability
60
20
19
2
0
0
0
0
Alcatraz holds ten federal inmates for one week before January 20, 2029?
May 4, 11:58 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM
9.89%chance
11136211
OptionVotes
30182
3313
Will Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac be privatized before February 2029?
Jan 8, 2:44 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
56.59%chance
1320593
OptionVotes
11224
8946
One of Elon Musk’s college aged henchmen charged with a federal crime before the end of day on December 31, 2025
Feb 3, 5:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
16.13%chance
2813985
OptionVotes
20852
5932
Will the US ban feeding chicken shit to cows or pigs in 2025?
Dec 25, 10:30 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
18.07%chance
2311802
OptionVotes
21137
4920
Will Trump tout (positively promote) the possibility of default on US federal debt at any time during his second term?
Feb 2, 9:27 AMFeb 1, 1:59 PM
53.76%chance
419642
OptionVotes
11501
8468
Will a member of Congress or a federal judge be arrested and held without bail?
Apr 28, 7:29 PMApr 29, 7:28 PM
39.18%chance
207516
OptionVotes
12458
8027
Salary withheld for 5000 full time US federal government employees on or before December 31, 2025
Feb 2, 8:57 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
36.33%chance
146906
OptionVotes
14718
5388
Will there be any significant legislation or executive orders cancelling vote-by-mail in the 2026 federal elections?
Feb 21, 2:05 AMJan 4, 7:59 AM
44.45%chance
141602
OptionVotes
10441
9624
Federal government fellowship approximating discontinued PMF program opens applications by EOY2030?
Apr 20, 6:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
52.62%chance
9702
OptionVotes
10538
9489
Will the Santa Fe Land Iguana, aka Barrington Land Iguana (Conolophus pallidus) become extinct in the current century?
Mar 30, 6:03 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
20.64%chance
3168
OptionVotes
652
423
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