Federal News

National Aviation Day 2025 Marks Orville Wright’s Birthday, NASA X-59, $12.5B FAA ATC Modernization, and Long Beach Airport Grant

10 months ago

Balance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?

Sep 19, 12:51 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

352484200

OptionProbability

R Pres, D Senate, D House

R President, R Senate, D House

R President, R Senate, R House - Republican Trifecta

R President, D Senate, R House

D President, D Senate, D House - Democrat Trifecta

D President, R Senate, R House

D President, D Senate, R House

D President, R Senate, D House

If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?

Mar 10, 5:12 AMNov 3, 7:59 AM

36.63%chance

203111452

OptionVotes

YES

7003

5981

Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date?

Nov 7, 7:29 PMJan 21, 2:59 AM

5174334

OptionProbability

January 20, 2029 (Whole term)

January 20, 2026 (First year)

January 20, 2025 (Inauguration Day)

February 20, 2025 (First month)

April 29, 2025 (First 100 days)

Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?

Feb 3, 9:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.05%chance

25072880

OptionVotes

YES

7852

5623

Alcatraz holds ten federal inmates for one week before January 20, 2029?

May 4, 11:58 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

9.23%chance

11644350

OptionVotes

YES

31394

3191

Will the farm bill (HR 7567) pass and destroy / federally preempt state animal welfare laws?

Apr 29, 12:45 AMJan 14, 12:59 AM

14.68%chance

8836202

OptionVotes

YES

10857

1831

Will Trump tout (positively promote) the possibility of default on US federal debt at any time during his second term?

Feb 2, 9:27 AMFeb 1, 1:59 PM

51.05%chance

4410157

OptionVotes

YES

10938

8979

[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?

Jan 6, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.21%chance

388547

OptionVotes

YES

5184

5054

Will a member of Congress or a federal judge be arrested and held without bail?

Apr 28, 7:29 PMApr 29, 7:28 PM

38.42%chance

227750

OptionVotes

YES

12660

7899

Will there be any significant legislation or executive orders cancelling vote-by-mail in the 2026 federal elections?

Feb 21, 2:05 AMJan 4, 7:59 AM

46.65%chance

305793

OptionVotes

YES

10030

9956

Will there be a US federal shutdown in November 2026?

Feb 4, 5:47 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

58.12%chance

113096

OptionVotes

YES

2211

1833

Federal government fellowship approximating discontinued PMF program opens applications by EOY2030?

Apr 20, 6:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.62%chance

9702

OptionVotes

YES

10538

9489

Latest stories

Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Space
Tech
Science
National Aviation Day 2025 Marks Orville Wright’s Birthday, NASA X-59, $12.5B FAA ATC Modernization, and Long Beach Airport Grant
Authors
21
10 months ago

Join our channels

Get the latest stories live on any device.

WhatsApp
Top Stories
Join
Telegram
Top Stories
Join

Federal News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Federal

Prediction markets for Federal

Prediction markets for Federal

Balance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?

If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?

Will Trump deploy federal law enforcement to crack down on protests by "radical left lunatics" by X date?

Will there be troops or federal agents at US voting booths in 2026 or 2028?

Alcatraz holds ten federal inmates for one week before January 20, 2029?

Will the farm bill (HR 7567) pass and destroy / federally preempt state animal welfare laws?

Will Trump tout (positively promote) the possibility of default on US federal debt at any time during his second term?

[ACX 2026] Will the U.S. enact an AI safety federal statute or executive order in 2026?

Will a member of Congress or a federal judge be arrested and held without bail?

Will there be any significant legislation or executive orders cancelling vote-by-mail in the 2026 federal elections?

Will there be a US federal shutdown in November 2026?

Federal government fellowship approximating discontinued PMF program opens applications by EOY2030?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram