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Top stories

Epic Adds Gorillaz to Fortnite Festival With New Skins and Music Pass

Authors

5

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Festival

In mid 2026, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short film to a prompt?

Aug 18, 10:56 AMSep 1, 4:00 AM

7%chance

5711993

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3645

274

Will I perform at Fyre Festival II?

Jan 12, 5:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.58%chance

368692

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9591

1588

Will AGI arrive before Frozen 3?

Apr 25, 5:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.72%chance

205734

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4744

1120

Will the widespread blacklisting of AI art be sustained to 2028?

Jun 15, 5:09 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

69.48%chance

453347

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1587

228

What year will Optimus first go to Burning Man festival?

Nov 23, 4:13 PMDec 1, 7:59 AM

52859

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2025

19

19

18

18

18

7

Will there be an Antimemetics Division show/movie by late 2029?

Sep 20, 6:54 PMSep 20, 8:59 PM

21.62%chance

211641

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1904

525

Will Serie be alive at the end of the Foundation Festival arc?

Apr 11, 7:11 AMOct 1, 1:59 PM

70.68%chance

101506

OptionVotes

NO

YES

245

203

Will R.E.M. reform and play a live tour before the end of 2027?

Jan 1, 12:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36.2%chance

161227

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1328

753

A self described Solarpunk movie has a theatre release before Halloween 2030

Jan 9, 12:44 PMOct 31, 11:59 PM

66.28%chance

12199

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1089

945

How many films from the 2026 Cannes Film Festival Competition will receive an Academy Award nomination?

May 23, 11:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

266

OptionProbability

0-2

3-4

5-6

7-8

9+

20

20

20

20

20

Will one new couple who met at 2026 LO--->Vibecamp festival season have a healthy baby by the first day of August 2027

Jun 15, 10:03 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

61.62%chance

551

OptionVotes

YES

NO

117

63

Will a YouTube video of/about a Gen-AI film awards ceremony reach 1 million+ views within a year of release by 2030?"

Oct 3, 6:16 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

52.44%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

952

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