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Top stories

Epic Adds Gorillaz to Fortnite Festival With New Skins and Music Pass

Authors

5

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Festival

Neural Nets will generate coherent 20-min films by the end of 2025 that win film festival awards [See link to better qu]

Mar 28, 9:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.84%chance

10829520

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5240

967

Will I perform at Fyre Festival II?

Jan 12, 5:22 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.08%chance

348649

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10538

1545

Will the widespread blacklisting of AI art be sustained to 2028?

Jun 15, 5:09 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

69.48%chance

453347

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1587

228

In mid 2026, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short film to a prompt?

Aug 18, 10:56 AMSep 30, 11:59 PM

15.53%chance

272959

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2332

429

Will Fyre Festival 2 actually happen before the end of 2025?

May 2, 6:13 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.82%chance

152328

OptionVotes

YES

NO

444

23

Will AGI arrive before Frozen 3?

Apr 25, 5:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.13%chance

172254

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3031

1477

Will I have a meaningful interaction over BitChat before August 1st 2026?

Aug 4, 6:22 AMJul 31, 11:59 PM

45.27%chance

42105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1099

910

What year will Optimus first go to Burning Man festival?

Nov 23, 4:13 PMDec 1, 7:59 AM

41359

OptionProbability

2028

2029

2030

2027

2026

2025

22

22

22

19

12

2

N.C. Young's 🤷🏻‍♂️ Relatively Dumb 🤷🏻‍♂️ New Year's Resolutions

Jan 2, 10:45 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

7945

OptionProbability

Submit a play to my theatre club's short play festival 🎭

Use up all of my tea ☕

Learn to whistle with two fingers 👆

Try 15 new recipes 👨🏻‍🍳

Win a rap battle 🎤

Write 10 sonnets ✍🏻

Donate my hair ✂️

Speak with an MP about prediction markets 📈

Reach wave 4500 on tier 18 of "The Tower" 🗼

Eat good vegan cheese 🧀

Donate plasma 20 times 🩸

Fix my dandruff ❄️

91

69

46

41

38

37

37

36

34

28

22

17

Will Serie be alive at the end of the Foundation Festival arc?

Apr 11, 7:11 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

90.02%chance

5805

OptionVotes

NO

YES

591

131

A self described Solarpunk movie has a theatre release before Halloween 2030

Jan 9, 12:44 PMOct 31, 11:59 PM

66.28%chance

12199

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1089

945

Will a YouTube video of/about a Gen-AI film awards ceremony reach 1 million+ views within a year of release by 2030?"

Oct 3, 6:16 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

52.44%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

952

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