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Prediction markets for Figure AI
Instant deepfakes of anyone (doing anything) by the end of 2027?
Dec 7, 10:12 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
81.13%chance
496718382
OptionVotes
16276
14269
What will OpenAI + Anthropic + xAI's combined revenue be by Dec 31, 2026?
Jan 18, 4:47 AMDec 31, 4:59 AM
5149902
OptionProbability
20
12
10
10
9
8
8
7
6
3
2
2
1
Before 2035, will there exist any AI that can perform arbitrary tasks in Minecraft?
May 25, 10:11 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
74%chance
8628068
OptionVotes
1687
593
OptionProbability
44
35
21
1
Will a benevolent AI create or appoint a human messianic figure within the timeframe of closing + 5yrs?
Nov 9, 2:06 AMDec 26, 5:59 AM
72.12%chance
202561
OptionVotes
1105
860
OptionProbability
90
87
82
61
53
51
41
40
27
6
5
OptionProbability
47
27
22
3
1
OptionProbability
83
70
60
Will AI analyze a convo history I have with someone to figure out exactly why someone distanced from you by EOY2026
Jan 9, 3:57 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
52.44%chance
15
OptionVotes
105
95
Will AI figure out who has the highest processing speed to working memory ratio by 2030?
Sep 11, 12:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
48.04%chance
12
OptionVotes
72
68
Will AI figure out who has the highest visual frame compression efficiency to working memory ratio by 2030?
Sep 11, 12:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
50
50
OptionProbability
17
17
17
17
17
17
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