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Framework Debuts 4.5-Liter Desktop With AMD Strix Halo for $1,099

1 day ago

When will AIs be good at solving complex problems? (read description)

Mar 28, 9:19 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

118675

OptionProbability

2027

2026

2025

2024

Assuming SB 1047 is passed, will the "compute threshold" of 10^26 flop be raised before 2030?

May 19, 1:50 PMJun 2, 3:59 AM

52.8%chance

365530

OptionVotes

YES

4821

4192

Will any rights be granted to a silicon-based intelligence before 2050?

Jan 2, 12:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

61%chance

442537

OptionVotes

YES

1163

849

What is the main reason behind GPT-4o speed improvement relative to GPT-4 base model?

May 14, 12:17 PMJul 21, 9:59 PM

251944

OptionProbability

Smaller model size (hence, architecture/algorithm improvements)

More/better hardware allocated

Something related to low-level computation efficiency (for example, optimized frameworks)

Other

Better coarser-grained tokenizer

Will a neurotech company face a lawsuit over unauthorized brain data collection in 2025?

Mar 8, 11:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.58%chance

91361

OptionVotes

YES

2243

446

Will "Toward A Mathematical Framework for Computati..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Mar 1, 12:48 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

45.8%chance

9238

OptionVotes

YES

152

101

Will pytorch be most used autodiff framework as of the end of 2026?

Dec 18, 8:50 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

83.02%chance

6133

OptionVotes

YES

257

109

Will I live and work in the US before 2030?

Apr 18, 11:16 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

48.71%chance

771

OptionVotes

YES

194

165

Before 2043, will a leading-edge process node feature a new transistor design fewer than 10 years after its invention?

Jun 5, 10:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

56.97%chance

250

OptionVotes

YES

106

Will OpenAI implement any of the reform recommendations from The OpenAI Files by end of 2025?

Jun 19, 8:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.13%chance

333

OptionVotes

YES

104

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Aug 7, 2025
Aug 7, 2025
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Framework Debuts 4.5-Liter Desktop With AMD Strix Halo for $1,099
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When will AIs be good at solving complex problems? (read description)

Assuming SB 1047 is passed, will the "compute threshold" of 10^26 flop be raised before 2030?

Will any rights be granted to a silicon-based intelligence before 2050?

What is the main reason behind GPT-4o speed improvement relative to GPT-4 base model?

Will a neurotech company face a lawsuit over unauthorized brain data collection in 2025?

Will "Toward A Mathematical Framework for Computati..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?

Will pytorch be most used autodiff framework as of the end of 2026?

Will I live and work in the US before 2030?

Before 2043, will a leading-edge process node feature a new transistor design fewer than 10 years after its invention?

Will OpenAI implement any of the reform recommendations from The OpenAI Files by end of 2025?

Latest stories

Join our channels

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Telegram