OptionProbability
Before trial begins: all 4 charges dropped, or whole case dismissed
Before a verdict of guilt for any of these charges: all 4 charges dropped, or whole case dismissed
Trial begins before 2031
Trump serves “house arrest” for any of the 4 alleged violations
Convicted of “Conspiracy to Defraud the United States”
Convicted of “Conspiracy to Obstruct an Official Proceeding”
Convicted of “Obstruction of and Attempt to Obstruct an Official Proceeding”
Convicted of “Conspiracy Against Rights”
Convicted of all 4 alleged violations
Trump goes to prison for any of the 4 alleged violations
99
49
46
31
10
7
OptionVotes
YES
NO
2975
337
3070
326
2832
354
2492
401
Other
Menlo Park, CA
Berkeley, CA
Stanford, CA
San Francisco, CA
Oakland, CA
Warren's Gore, VT
San Jose, CA
24
16
15
12
11
4
300
33
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