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Top stories

IO Interactive Launches Full Hitman Trilogy on iPhone for $70

IO Interactive Launches Full Hitman Trilogy on iPhone for $70

Authors

4

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Freelancer

Will net demand for graphic designers fall by 50% or more by 2025?

Aug 10, 1:31 AMSep 1, 3:59 AM

3.44%chance

12227376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10020

1563

Will SotA on SWE-Lancer (Diamond) reach 400K USD (80%) in 2025?

Apr 7, 2:51 PMJan 15, 11:59 PM

20.43%chance

74874

OptionVotes

YES

NO

9864

2540

When do I next become fully employed?

Aug 27, 6:46 PMJan 1, 7:25 PM

32123

OptionProbability

Q2 2026

Q3 2026

Q1 2026

Q4 2026

>=2027

September 2025

October 2025

November 2025

December 2025

23

20

19

17

17

1

1

1

1

What will be the highest reported Remote Labor Index (RLI) AI automation rate by the end of each of the following years?

Oct 29, 11:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31667

OptionProbability

2032

2030

2029

2028

2027

2026

2025

84

78

70

66

46

24

9

Between Feb 1 2025 and Feb 1 2029 inclusive, will at least 10 US civilians be killed on US soil by enemy action?

Feb 11, 4:48 PMFeb 3, 7:59 AM

36.83%chance

4890

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1310

764

Will Marques Brownlee create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 5:18 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.38%chance

12702

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1215

935

What will be the next change to my employment status?

Jan 13, 3:47 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

3109

OptionProbability

Resign and accept new job

Internal transfer

Laid off with others

Fired for cause

Other

Resign and reenter full time schooling

Double employment (J2 or freelancing)

54

14

7

7

7

6

6

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