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Top stories

Dassault Warns Franco-German Fighter Project at Risk Amid Airbus Feud

Dassault Warns Franco-German Fighter Project at Risk Amid Airbus Feud

Authors

5

11 days ago

Prediction markets for Future Combat Air System

Will Ukraine bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jul 1, 5:10 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

29.43%chance

12429

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1176

910

Which will be the first 6th generation fighter to enter service with a country's military?

Apr 6, 7:46 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

6414

OptionProbability

Boeing F-47

SAC J-50 (provisional name)

CAC J-36 (provisional name)

Other

F/A-XX (USN)

GCAP

FCAS

PAK DP

35

18

14

14

12

9

0

0

Will the US bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jun 3, 6:24 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

44.24%chance

9321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

264

224

Will Canada bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jul 2, 7:00 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

64.43%chance

7139

OptionVotes

NO

YES

158

110

Will Finland bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jul 1, 4:52 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

17.6%chance

3122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230

59

Will China bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jun 3, 6:31 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

65.57%chance

670

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

74

Will Sweden bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 30, 8:36 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

29%chance

337

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

71

Will Italy bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 30, 8:21 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

53%chance

225

OptionVotes

NO

YES

71

69

Will Norway bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jul 1, 5:00 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

37.16%chance

222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

74

Will France bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 30, 8:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

45.25%chance

217

OptionVotes

YES

NO

55

45

Will Israel bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 13, 10:12 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

59.02%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

80

62

Will Singapore bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 5, 7:24 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

59.02%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

80

62

Latest stories

Latest stories

Jul 23, 2025
Jul 23, 2025
France
Germany
Politics
Dassault Warns Franco-German Fighter Project at Risk Amid Airbus Feud
Authors
5
11 days ago

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