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Top stories

Germany, France, Spain Set October Talks to Salvage €100 Billion FCAS Jet

Germany, France, Spain Set October Talks to Salvage €100 Billion FCAS Jet

Authors

13

8 months ago

Prediction markets for Future Combat Air System

Will Ukraine bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jul 1, 5:10 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

28.11%chance

13479

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1226

890

Which will be the first 6th generation fighter to enter service with a country's military?

Apr 6, 7:46 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

7419

OptionProbability

Boeing F-47

SAC J-50 (provisional name)

CAC J-36 (provisional name)

Other

F/A-XX (USN)

GCAP

FCAS

PAK DP

36

17

15

13

11

8

0

0

Will Canada bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jul 2, 7:00 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

64.43%chance

7139

OptionVotes

NO

YES

158

110

Will Finland bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jul 1, 4:52 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

17.6%chance

3122

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230

59

Will Germany bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 30, 8:51 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

18.89%chance

378

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

58

Will China bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jun 3, 6:31 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

65.57%chance

670

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

74

Will Greece bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jul 1, 8:00 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

29%chance

444

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

93

Will Sweden bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 30, 8:36 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

29%chance

337

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

71

Will Poland bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jul 1, 5:06 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

44.16%chance

430

OptionVotes

YES

NO

118

103

Will China bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2027?

Jun 3, 6:31 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

35.55%chance

120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

86

58

Will France bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?

Jun 30, 8:40 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

45.25%chance

217

OptionVotes

YES

NO

55

45

Will Israel bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?

Jun 13, 10:12 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

59.02%chance

110

OptionVotes

NO

YES

80

62

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
France
Germany
Spain
Germany, France, Spain Set October Talks to Salvage €100 Billion FCAS Jet
Authors
13
8 months ago

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